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Hello and welcome to Coffee House Shots, the spectators daily and sometimes twice daily politics

podcast. I'm Zbar Harman and I'm joined by James Forsyth and Katie Bulls.

We're on the roof of Parliament and we've had the result of the vote of confidence in Boris

Johnson with 211 conservative MPs voting for the Prime Minister saying they have confidence in him

and 148 saying they do not. James, what does this mean? This is a bad result for Boris Johnson.

He has done worse in percentage terms than Tories made in 2018 and we all know how that

ended up for her and I think we've over 40% of Tory MPs having voted against him.

He is in a very difficult position. He's in a particularly difficult position because

it is hard to see where the good news is coming for him. There are two by elections coming up

later this month where the Tories are expected to lose and may well lose by an even bigger margin

than Tory MPs expected, which could create some panic. Indeed, I think if you look at these results

if this is kind of uprising which is kind of organic rather than organized,

I'd have the strategic patience to wait until after these by elections. It may well have succeeded

in unhorsing him outright. The second problem for Boris Johnson is that the kind of source of

his woes which is going to partigate in all that is not going away. There is another

investigation this time by the Provinces Committee of House comments to come and I think we are now

on a world where there will be constant speculation about whether the 1922 committee will change the

rules to allow another vote within a year. They almost did that with Theresa May and that was one of

the reasons that she resigned and I think we are probably in a world now where the most likely

...