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Deep Questions with Cal Newport

Is AI About to “Eat Everything”? | AI Reality Check

Deep Questions with Cal Newport

Cal Newport

Self-improvement, Technology, Education

4.81.5K Ratings

🗓️ 14 May 2026

⏱️ 32 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Cal Newport takes a critical look at recent AI News.   Video from today’s episode: youtube.com/calnewportmedia   (0:00) Is AI about to “eat everything”? (2:53) What does the METR chart measure? (8:08) What do these measurements actually capture? (12:31-) How are the models getting better? (21:26) Does this mean AI is about to “eat everything”? (26:16) So, what’s with all of these hysterical tweets?   Links: Buy Cal’s latest book, “Slow Productivity” at www.calnewport.com/slow https://metr.org/time-horizons/ https://x.com/SydSteyerhart/status/2053082873847070911 https://x.com/AISafetyMemes/status/2053169358919328172 https://x.com/ramez/status/2041946766598402459?s=61   Thanks to Jesse Miller for production and mastering, Nate Mechler for research and newsletter, and Jay Kerstens for theme music. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Last week, the AI Safety and Evaluation Organization Meter, that's METR, released a new update on their famous AI Time Horizon chart.

0:12.1

Look, I'm going to load it on the screen here for people who are watching.

0:16.2

And when you zoom in, you can see these points on this chart, starting around 2025, begin to go up.

0:23.6

And then when we get the 2026, they go way up, and then the last update go way up again.

0:31.6

Now this graph looks scary. Even if you don't know what it means, it does create a strong sense of digital ick.

0:39.5

And as you can imagine, the internet jumped into action to try to amplify that uneasy

0:45.8

feeling. Now, in a recent essay posted to his newsletter, Gary Marcus did a good job of rounding

0:50.8

up some of the more, shall we say, concerned responses to this latest update

0:56.0

to meter's latest graph.

0:57.6

Let me show you a couple here.

0:59.2

Here's one, a tweet that said, AI power is doubling every 103 days now.

1:06.1

It's going to eat everything.

1:09.1

Nothing will be spared.

1:10.3

We are on the threshold of truly ergodic alien

1:13.4

intelligences in which human input will be nothing but a liability. All right, here's another

1:19.4

example that Gary pointed out. The tweet simply says, TikTok. It has a expertly drawn graph

1:26.8

that shows highest intelligence on earth by time and you see there's a

1:32.3

point where it goes up up crosses a tripwire and then shoot straight up where human brains

1:37.5

become smart enough to create ASI which is artificial super intelligence then below it is a version

1:42.7

of that time horizon graphs. And they're like,

1:44.9

look, doesn't that look similar? The line goes up. The line goes up. So I guess we're about

1:49.1

to have artificial superintelligence conquer the world. Now, there are many more tweets out

...

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