Iran - how vulnerable is the regime?
The Briefing Room
BBC
4.8 • 731 Ratings
🗓️ 12 February 2026
⏱️ 29 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
In early January street protests in Iran turned deadly - thousands were killed by Iranian forces. What started as a demonstration about economic conditions had turned into demands for regime change. President Trump said he would come to the aid of protesters. But so far he hasn’t. He’s amassed a US armada in the Gulf. And last Friday talks were held in Oman between American and Iranian officials about reducing Iran’s nuclear capacity. There’s been no agreement yet but more talks are expected. David Aaronovitch asks his guests what could happen next ? And how vulnerable the Iranian regime is, both inside the country and to a potential US attack?
Guests: Kasra Naji,Special Correspondent, BBC Persian Arash Azizi, Writer and lecturer, Yale University Dr Burcu Ozcelik, Senior Research Fellow for Middle East Security at the Royal United Services Institute Dr Sanam Vakil, Director of the Middle East programme, Chatham House
Presenter: David Aaronovitch Producers: Caroline Bayley, Emma Close Production Coordinator: Maria Ogundele Sound Engineer: James Beard Editor: Richard Vadon
Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | BBC Sounds, Music, radio, podcasts. |
| 0:09.0 | News out of Iran has been difficult to get and harder to assess. |
| 0:15.5 | Over the turn of the year, protests about economic conditions turned into what began to look like an unarmed revolution |
| 0:22.0 | aimed at theocratic regime itself. The problem for Iran watches was to decide whether this revolt |
| 0:28.9 | will go the way of others and be successfully repressed by state violence or whether it was a harbinger |
| 0:34.9 | of the end of the reign of the mullahs. |
| 0:38.8 | So which is it? |
| 0:42.0 | Step into the briefing room and together we'll find out. |
| 0:50.8 | First, I'm joined by the BBC Persian Services Special Correspondent, Kazranaji. |
| 0:55.4 | Kasranaji, can you remind us how this bait of protest began? |
| 1:02.5 | It started unexpectedly at the end of December, on the 28th of December. |
| 1:10.4 | And it started with shopkeepers and the merchants in Tehran's Bazaar, which is the traditional center of trade in Iran and the |
| 1:13.1 | pillar of support for the regime in Iran. |
| 1:16.5 | It started there, and it started with shopkeepers shutting their shops and businesses closing, |
| 1:23.2 | claiming that they cannot do business anymore with the constantly falling value of the Iranian |
| 1:31.0 | Real, which was basically protesting the collapse of the economy that has been sort of going |
| 1:37.6 | down and down and down for a very long time for mismanagement and also because of the international |
| 1:44.0 | sanctions that Iran is under. |
| 1:47.0 | And then it gradually over the next few days and two weeks sort of spread to many other parts of Tehran, the capital, but other cities. |
| 1:58.0 | So it got out of hand. It got out of hand in the sense that, okay, the initial reason |
| 2:04.0 | for this was economics, but the deep sort of discontent in Iran with the regime, with Iran's |
| 2:11.7 | supreme leader and the way the country is being managed, the policies of the Supreme Leader that has led to this |
... |
Please login to see the full transcript.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from BBC, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of BBC and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.

