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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Investors and Markets Are Stuck Between Two Monsters

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 24 February 2022

⏱️ 36 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Investors face a dilemma of seemingly mythological proportions, stuck between the Scylla of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Charybdis of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle. And one monster theoretically feeds the other, as rising geopolitical tensions continue to drive crude oil and natural gas prices higher and add to inflation pressures in the United States. President Joe Biden’s sanctions regime appears to be targeting Russian President Vladimir Putin’s inner circle, as he navigates a complex set of international and domestic problems. Ukrainian banks and government websites are under cyber attack and Russian troops have crossed its borders, as this 21st century struggle continues to unfold. How will literal war in Eastern Europe play into the Fed’s figurative war on inflation, with market rates already creeping up? Darius Dale, founder and CEO of 42 Macro, joins Real Vision’s Alfonso Peccatiello to assess financial markets in context of the present geo-macro situation. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3sdD0SD Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:58.5

Mass unpack.

1:26.7

I would define that all over the place and obviously the headlines are all about Russia and Ukraine

1:32.5

and the geopolitical tensions.

1:35.3

Just as a broad first initial commentaries, what would you say about today, prize action?

1:41.8

Yeah, so the first thing I'll say is there's a complete blood back in the NASDAQ and tech stocks.

1:48.4

Obviously, they don't like it when geopolitical tensions are accelerating

1:51.9

and you're not getting the benefit of curve flattening.

1:55.6

I don't know long into the Treasury curve.

1:57.6

And this is something I had a conversation with one of our subscribers on Twitter

2:01.2

this weekend or last week.

2:02.9

And you're saying, hey, look, what would happen if they invade it?

2:05.6

You know, happens if you go to war, do you buy more bonds with that?

2:07.9

And I said, maybe, maybe not.

2:10.2

Because war from this perspective, if you think about the reduction in labour supply that we have

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