Investor Who Timed Market (3 Times!) Says Now May Be Bottom

BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

BiggerPockets

Education, Business, Investing

4.8 • 16.5K Ratings

🗓️ 27 June 2025

⏱️ 41 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

The housing market is already predicted to see price cuts by the end of the year, but is now the time to buy, or should you wait for further price movement? We brought on an investor who has successfully timed the housing market (three times) to give his thoughts on whether we’re at the bottom or we have a long way to go. If you’ve been holding out for lower home prices and less competition, should you take the risk and wait, knowing a rebound could be on the way? Through a combination of genius and a bit of luck, Brian Burke has sold, bought, and sold at the right times repeatedly. He exited the majority of his real estate portfolio in the early 2020s as prices hit all-time highs and competition was fierce. For the last three and a half years, he hadn’t bought anything, up until very recently. Is this a signal that now is the time to buy? Today, we’re asking Brian whether 2025 is the right time to buy (and for which assets), how to get in “position” to make a profit as home prices decline, the sellers most likely to give you concessions and further price cuts, and signs YOU should sell your headache rental and trade it for something better. The second half of 2025 could be when the scales tip—are you ready to make a move? In This Episode We Cover Buying near the bottom and how to capitalize on the steepest price cuts What Brian looks for in a rental property during a down market How to get even deeper discounts (and seller concessions) in 2025 Signs that you should sell your rental and redeploy the profits How much debt to take on during volatile times in the housing market And So Much More! Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-1140 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠[email protected]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Home prices are dropping in many parts of the country.
0:03.4	Here's how real estate investors should react.
0:06.2	If you've been waiting for home prices to come down before making your next investment,
0:10.4	well, that time is coming soon if it's not already here.
0:13.8	So get prepared with Zillow, Redfin, and a lot of other reputable forecasters now predicting price drops in the second half of 2025,
0:23.8	there are going to be big opportunities to buy investment properties,
0:27.2	which you've all been anticipating and waiting for for a long time.
0:31.1	But you need to buy the right way in this kind of market.
0:34.6	You don't want to be catching a falling knife, and today we'll tell you how.
0:43.8	What's up, everyone? I'm Dave Meyer, head of real estate investing at Bigger Pockets. This podcast
0:49.5	is devoted to helping you reach financial freedom through real estate. Today, we are talking about a shift in the housing market that's happening right now.
0:58.2	Home prices are expected to fall on a national basis about 1% year over year.
1:04.0	But this isn't a crash, and it's not even necessarily a large correction.
1:08.1	But it is still significant because home prices have been rising pretty
1:12.5	consistently since 2012. If you're one of those people who's been sitting around and waiting
1:17.9	for prices to drop before buying a rental property, now's the time because it's happening.
1:23.5	This is a new dynamic in the market. And because of that, I want to break down how investors
1:30.0	should invest when there are fewer bidding wars, when sellers are dropping prices and homes
1:35.2	are sitting on the market for longer durations. And to help me break it all down, I'm joined
1:40.1	today by an investor who has seen every possible type of market, probably more than once.
1:45.6	Welcome back to the show, Brian Burke.
1:47.6	Dave, thanks for having me again.
	...

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