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The Meaningful Money Personal Finance Podcast

Investment Behaviours: Three More Biases

The Meaningful Money Personal Finance Podcast

Pete Matthew

Education, Business, Investing

4.91.7K Ratings

🗓️ 19 July 2019

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Finishing the little series here about investment behaviours that can derail our investing success, I cover Overconfidence bias, Loss-aversion bias and Endowment bias.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Okay, we've spent a few weeks looking at the major behavioral biases that impact our investing

0:05.8

and our wealth building.

0:07.2

So let's round things off with just three more.

0:09.2

Yes, confirmation bias.

0:21.3

I want to just round things off here with just three more

0:23.6

behavioral biases that we bring to bear on our investing which can be an insidious

0:27.6

threat to our wealth-building success. I'm going to go over these in fairly rapid-fire

0:32.0

fashion so let's put five minutes on the clock down here.

0:35.0

Say a quick thank you to my friends at 7 Investment Management down here for continuing to sponsor the show, and let's crack on.

0:40.0

First up, we have overconfidence bias. This is closely linked to self-attribution bias of course and it means that we can

0:47.0

overestimate our judgment or the quality of the information we have. Maybe we think we can predict downturns and rallies in stock markets.

0:55.6

Or that we have some kind of advantage

0:57.2

because of a tip that we got from somebody in the know.

0:59.8

What this tends to lead to is over trading because we're constantly trying to

1:05.0

realign our actually very unpredictable portfolio to whatever our views are right now

1:10.6

and the cost of that over trading can eat into future returns

1:14.0

probably won't lead to additional returns to cover the cost of the trading not just

1:19.0

in dealing fees but also for being out of the market as you are making switches between

1:23.9

holdings. Overconfidence bias also leads us to forget when we got things wrong

1:28.6

convenient really. Next up loss aversion bias. Now there's a famous study by Kahneman and Tversky which

1:35.7

show that people feel the pain of loss roughly twice as much as they feel the

1:41.4

pleasure of an equivalent sized gain.

...

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