Introducing the Proven Pollster Polling Average | Guest: Rich Baris | 10/4/22
Steve Deace Show
Blaze Podcast Network
4.8 • 10.4K Ratings
🗓️ 4 October 2022
⏱️ 96 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | And greetings happy Tuesday. Welcome to the Steve Day show live and on demand here on Blaze TV radio and podcast. I'm Steve |
| 0:27.9 | Dave Dase. It's amazing. It's like this studio knows gentlemen that it's about to be replaced screens are going out things are going dark. It's like it's just it recognized you know what we can go ahead and tap out here right so alongside Todders and Aaron Mac entire yes you can't see it but if we were to turn the cameras around. You would see quite the mess so the the Blaze master crew will be here this week to give us what looks like a serious studio up grade. We are |
| 0:57.9 | looking forward to that. And we've been warning you for the last week or so that the next couple of months could get a little sketch in terms of random schedule changes and things of that nature in fact after the nefarious movie call I had yesterday that confirmed things are going to be cranking up pretty rapidly here on that front. So a reminder today we are taping tomorrow show after this show. |
| 1:26.8 | We've got to be out of this space tomorrow to begin prepping for the studio upgrade that will then take place Wednesday through Sunday with the hopes that if all goes well so no shows at all on Thursday and Friday. |
| 1:40.8 | You will get an original show tomorrow and it'll be your Wednesday show with by seller hold it'll just be taped later today. So if you're wondering why are you all wearing the same clothes don't you bathe that is why. |
| 1:52.8 | Okay. And then we are completely out Thursday and Friday and then Monday. You should come in and tune in and and see dramatically upgraded new digs for the program. So bear with us as we go through that process and then some scheduling quirks as well over the next couple of months to we appreciate all of you. |
| 2:13.8 | Also want to let you know about something we're going to debut on the show here for the first time in just a few moments I'll tell you about that after I tell you about our friends over at my Patriots supply make sure. |
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| 2:37.8 | Get it for 20% off what is their emergency food kit by the way breakfast lunch dinner even snacks and drinks so the full complement of 2000 calories plus for you when everyone in your household 20% off right now and free shipping if you go to my landing page for this offer. |
| 2:53.8 | Just to make sure you have peace of mind to know that your family has taken care of when you go to prepare with days dot com once more that is prepare with days dot com. |
| 3:02.8 | So I know a lot of you if you are long time listeners to the show know I have a bit of a background both in terms of constructing and also covering the nuts and bolts of politics polling data things of that nature right doing this has become increasingly difficult. |
| 3:21.8 | Because for a long time the polling industry on horse race stuff you have not been able to trust the issue based polling from legacy media for quite a long time now that's all been push polling to make the questions is favorable to their preferred agenda as possible but. |
| 3:42.8 | And I follow this stuff I've documented it for literally decades you you actually have been able to trust us a lot of the horse race polling you in midterms when turnout is lower and so therefore if one group shows up unexpectedly higher it can swing a much more massive you know outcome in an election but a lot of times at least to some degree there has been some form of credibility within the horse race polling. |
| 4:10.8 | And just as any other shred of credibility the spirit of the age decided to cast aside here in the Trump era the maga era that has now happened to polling. |
| 4:20.8 | And I think I showed you guys have the 16 polls that were used in the real clear politics polling average in 2020 only five were within their margin for errors five out of the 16 and when I say the others were not within the margin for I mean like nowhere near. |
| 4:37.8 | And then was off by nine points me that's just. |
| 4:42.8 | You can't pay for somebody to be that bad unless you're really paying for somebody to be that good if you know I'm saying she right you know I'm saying I do that you hear me knocking and I'm coming in. |
| 4:53.8 | So today I'm going to unveil today officially is five weeks until the midterm elections I keep being a week early because I keep forgetting with November first being the first Tuesday that the election gets pushed back a week to the eighth. |
| 5:06.8 | So five weeks from today will be the midterm elections. |
| 5:11.8 | And since we can't even really rely on the real clear politics polling average any longer. |
| 5:18.8 | But I still believe in wisdom in a multitude of counsel as the good book says so here's what we are going to debut today. |
| 5:24.8 | I have created the proven polling average. |
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