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Tangle

INTERVIEW: Simon Rosenberg, the man who got 2022 right.

Tangle

Isaac Saul

Politics, Us House Of Representatives, Trump, News, Nonpartisan, Us Politics, Us Senate, Us News, News Commentary, International News, Local News, Congress, Independent, Biden, Election

4.7817 Ratings

🗓️ 23 December 2022

⏱️ 42 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In our last preview of the 2022 election, I cited Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg as a "unique voice" in a sea of forecasters and pundits who said Democrats were going to get wiped out in the midterms. I also said that if he was right, I'd reach out to him for an interview and figure out why he got it right when everyone else got it wrong. Well, he was right. And I did reach out. And today, you'll hear our conversation about 2022, the people who got it wrong, what he saw that everyone else didn't, and what he expects in 2024.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:29.1

Conditions apply.

0:35.2

From executive producer Isaac Saul, this is Tangle.

0:44.7

Good morning, good afternoon and good evening and welcome to the Tangle podcast, the place we get views from across the political spectrum, some independent thinking without all that hysterical nonsense you find everywhere else. I'm your host, Isaac Saul, and I am thrilled for today's show and today's guest. As many of you remember when we were heading into our final 2022 midterm election preview,

1:14.0

which was about a month ago, it feels like a year ago to me, in a sea of columnists and

1:20.2

forecasters who were talking about the incoming red wave, I cited in our last newsletter

1:25.6

and podcast that went out before the election, a Democratic

1:29.3

strategist named Simon Rosenberg. And this is what I wrote in that newsletter. I said, one of the

1:34.6

few voices I've seen bucking the trend of a big night for Republicans is Simon Rosenberg, who I think

1:39.6

at least deserves a shout out here for the sake of diversity of opinion. He's an unabashed progressive

1:45.1

working for a progressive organization, but his final midterm update, I'd rather be us than them,

1:50.2

is uniquely bullish on Democrats. His theory rests mostly on the data we have that Democrats are

1:55.5

outpacing early vote numbers from 2020. Many late polls have been looking good for them,

2:00.2

and Hispanic and youth polling

2:01.5

are all trending nicely for Democrats. If Democrats managed to hold the Senate or mitigate losses

2:07.2

in the House, his analysis will prove prescient and unique. So, as promised, I reached out to

2:13.1

Simon, and today he's here to chat with us, Simon, the man who got it right.

2:17.9

Thank you so much for coming on the show.

2:19.6

I appreciate it.

...

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