Interview: Joseph Wang (Fed Rate Decision Preview)
Rebel Capitalist News
George Gammon
4.7 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 18 December 2024
⏱️ 43 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hello for the robo capitalists. Hope you're well. I'm here with my good buddy, the Fed guy himself, |
| 0:05.6 | Joseph Wang, and it is very appropriate today because we are just before the Fed rate decision. |
| 0:13.7 | Drumroll, please, for the drama. So Fed guy himself, welcome back to the show, buddy, and what do you |
| 0:19.5 | think is going to happen today? Hey, George, thanks for having me. It's great to be back. So in thinking about the Fed today, |
| 0:25.8 | we got to remember the Fed never wants the surprise the markets. So everything they do is going to be |
| 0:30.7 | telegraphed in advance. So they're definitely going to cut rates by 25 basis points today. |
| 0:36.2 | But, you know, I think it's helpful to think about just |
| 0:39.2 | the path that we've, that got us here. Now, the Fed started cutting rates in September. They started |
| 0:43.9 | with a jumbo 50 basis point cut, and they were telegraphing that you would cut, you know, |
| 0:49.9 | in December based upon the data they were looking at. So it seemed like they got kind of panically back in September. |
| 0:57.2 | At that time, they had economic projections that were basically recessionary. |
| 1:01.4 | They were thinking that the unemployment rate would surge to 4.4%. |
| 1:04.9 | GDP growth would come down, inflation would come down and so forth. |
| 1:08.6 | But what's surprising is that over the past couple months, |
| 1:12.1 | the data has been a lot better than they had forecasted. So the unemployment rate has gone up, |
| 1:17.2 | but not as much. GDP growth is still okay, but inflation is a little bit hotter. But even after |
| 1:23.5 | all this, they still wanted to cut. So, you know, that I think that's- |
| 1:27.7 | Joseph. |
| 1:28.6 | Yeah, that's a great- |
| 1:30.3 | Look at all the economic data that you just mentioned. |
| 1:33.7 | Let's assume it doesn't get revised, right? |
| 1:35.5 | Yeah. |
... |
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