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The Dispatch Podcast

Inflation, Recession and the Fed

The Dispatch Podcast

The Dispatch

News, Politics

4.63.3K Ratings

🗓️ 26 December 2022

⏱️ 31 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Inflation has driven the cost of living to a record high and most recent reports are giving mixed signals about what to expect. Declan is joined by Desmond Lachman, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, to talk about interest-rate hikes and Lachman's critiques of the Fed in what he calls "monetary policy overkill."  Show Notes: -Desmond Lachman: “The Fed is playing with fire with its continued interest-rate hikes”  -CPI Index released on Dec. 13th -The CME FedWatch Tool mentioned by Declan -Desmond Lachman’s American Enterprise Institute profile Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Dispatch podcast. This is Declan Garvey, editor of the Morning Dispatch.

0:04.5

And today we have a great conversation with Desmond Lockman. He's a senior fellow at the American

0:10.8

Enterprise Institute. We're going to talk to Desmond about macroeconomic policy. He had latest

0:16.6

inflation reports, the federal reserves, latest interest rate moves, and kind of what we can expect

0:21.4

going forward into 2023, as we're in this now years long fight against inflation and

0:27.1

potentially ending up in a recession.

0:45.3

Desmond, thank you so much for joining the Dispatch podcast.

0:48.4

My pleasure to be with you.

0:49.9

Well, I want to get started. Just we've had kind of a banner week of economic news in the past

0:56.7

week between the Consumer Price Index report coming out last Tuesday, and then the Federal Reserve

1:02.6

making an interest rate decision and Chairman Jerome Powell making kind of letting investors and

1:08.0

the market know where the Fed is trending towards in the coming weeks. So could you walk us through

1:13.5

briefly kind of your takeaways from those two announcements that came back to back?

1:19.0

So the response that consumer prices go that was pretty good news. You know, what occurred

1:25.7

is that earlier this summer, we peaked inflation at around about 9.1%. The consumer numbers on last

1:35.4

week showed that we down to 7.1%. And that was better than expected. So it looks like clearly

1:42.2

inflation has peaked that we're on a declining trend. Now, having said that, the Federal Reserve

1:49.9

Chairman Jerome Powell, the following week, disabuse us of any notion that the Fed is finished

1:57.1

with interest rate hikes. So he felt that we've still got quite a lot of wage pressure in the system

2:04.8

that unemployment is very low and that the Fed still has work to do in terms of raising interest

2:13.2

rates. So what they did is they raised interest rates by 50 basis points. That's lower than the 75

2:21.6

basis points that they did on the previous four occasions. But it's still very aggressive monetary

...

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