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The Ezra Klein Show

Inflation Does More Than Raise Prices. It Destroys Governments.

The Ezra Klein Show

New York Times Opinion

Society & Culture, Government, News

4.611K Ratings

🗓️ 4 November 2022

⏱️ 70 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

“One can usually pretend that there is a logic to the distribution of wealth — that behind a person’s prosperity lies some rational basis, whether it is that person’s hard work, skill and farsightedness or some ancestor’s,” writes J. Bradford DeLong. “Inflation — even moderate inflation — strips the mask.” DeLong is an economic historian at the University of California, Berkeley, a former deputy assistant secretary of the Treasury and the author of “Slouching Towards Utopia” — a new book about the wave of economic growth that transformed the world in the 20th century. In it, he argues, among other things, that inflation isn’t just economically damaging; it’s one of the most destabilizing, destructive forces in all of politics. Left unchecked, it has the power to swing elections, erode the foundations of core social institutions and usher in wholesale changes in political and economic regimes. [You can listen to this episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” on Apple, Spotify, Amazon Music, Google or wherever you get your podcasts.] That’s exactly what happened the last time inflation was this high. In DeLong’s telling, the inflation crisis of the 1970s was weaponized to discredit the reigning New Deal economic order and helped give rise to the small government, pro-market political turn of the 1980s — the consequences of which we are living with today. So I wanted to have DeLong on the show to walk me through that story and some of the questions it raises: Why is inflation is so uniquely politically destructive? What are the right — and wrong — lessons to take from the experience of the 1970s? What kinds of political transformations could today’s inflation could bring about? We also discuss why inflation spiraled out of control in the 1970s (and whether it could have been stopped sooner), the efficacy of price controls as a way of taming inflation, why DeLong believes it’s a mistake to take the 1970s comparisons too literally, how unchecked inflation can decimate social trust, how economic thinking became obsessed with “moochers” and “slackers” in the 1980s and ’90s, whether the 2007-08 financial crisis brought an end to the neoliberal era, what DeLong would say to his younger self serving in the early Clinton administration and more. Book Recommendations: The Rise and Fall of the Neoliberal Order by Gary Gestle Free Market by Jacob Soll Adam Smith’s America by Glory M. Liu Thoughts? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com. (And if you're reaching out to recommend a guest, please write “Guest Suggestion" in the subject line.) You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs. “The Ezra Klein Show” is produced by Emefa Agawu, Annie Galvin, Jeff Geld and Rogé Karma. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris, Rollin Hu, Mary Marge Locker and Kate Sinclair. Original music by Isaac Jones. Mixing by Jeff Geld and Sonia Hererro. Audience strategy by Shannon Busta. Special thanks to Kristin Lin and Kristina Samulewski.

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm Ezra Klein, this is the Ezra Conchell.

0:23.7

The US has been seeing the highest inflation in 40 years and the midterm elections, they're

0:28.3

just next week.

0:30.1

So there's a pretty straightforward way of looking at this.

0:32.8

The Democrats, they're host.

0:34.5

Really any party in power right now is probably host.

0:37.8

The out party or opposition coalition, they just won in Brazil, they just won in Israel,

0:42.5

they just won in Italy, in the UK, the Tories have been the governing party, they are falling

0:46.6

apart.

0:48.1

So nothing too unusual here.

0:50.1

Governing during a time of high inflation, it is bad for the governing party.

0:54.1

But inflation does more than that, it does worse than that.

0:59.8

Swinging single elections unchecked, it erodes the foundations of systems, it leads to wholesale

1:05.3

changes in political and economic regimes.

1:07.9

And it does this not just through its direct economic effects on prices and material living

1:13.3

conditions, it does it by destroying the fundamental stories that connect people to their governments

1:19.5

and that make them believe in the economy and political system they're part of.

1:24.6

Brad DeLong is an economic historian and an economist at the University of California

1:29.1

at Berkeley.

1:30.1

He is the author of a big, important new book called Slotching Towards Utopia.

1:35.1

And this book is about the wave of economic growth that transformed the world from 1870

1:39.1

to 2010.

...

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