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Cato Podcast

Inflation and Relative Prices

Cato Podcast

Cato Institute

Cato, Peace, Policy, Politics, Markets, Defense, Government, News, News Commentary, 424708, Immigration, Libertarian

4.5979 Ratings

🗓️ 1 March 2011

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Cato Daily Podcast for Tuesday, March 1st, 2011. I'm Caleb Brown.

0:06.0

The destruction caused by inflation isn't just rising prices. It's that prices don't all rise at the same time.

0:12.0

The process of working out these relative prices

0:14.8

is costly and Federal reserve policies of the past two years have worsened that challenge.

0:20.2

Jim Dorn, Vice President for Academic Affairs at the Cato Institute, says inflation leaves

0:24.4

all economic decision-makers at a disadvantage.

0:28.4

There have been a lot of price increases globally, various things, agricultural goods, oil most recently, how does an inflationary

0:39.5

expectation alter people's thoughts about those price increase, those kinds of price increases.

0:47.0

Well when you have a price increase in a specific commodity like oil, for example, it's in dollar terms obviously. So it's hard to decipher and

0:56.4

separate out the real factors from the monetary factors sometimes. Obviously if there's inflationary expectations,

1:05.0

then the price of oil and other asset prices will reflect that rather rapidly.

1:11.0

The exchange rates will also reflect that. The foreign exchange

1:15.4

value of the dollar, for example, if inflation is expected, people won't be as

1:19.6

willing to hold dollars as they were before. And they'll also increase the price of oil

1:24.2

which is priced in dollars. So right now the Fed is basically engaging in a

1:32.4

quantitative easing by purchasing longer term government securities.

1:37.3

This is artificially holding down interest rates

1:40.5

and helping the government basically spend beyond what it takes and in taxes.

1:46.4

This is dangerous because if you monetize the debt for any period of time, like they did in

1:51.8

Zimbabwe for example, you get inflation, rather serious inflation.

1:57.0

So this could present a signal to the markets that inflation is further down the road,

2:02.0

and you don't have to wait four years

...

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