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Wall Street Breakfast

In-Line Payrolls Indicate Fed's One Last Hurrah

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 7 April 2023

⏱️ 18 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The March jobs report (out on a stock market holiday) took some steam out of the weak labor market narrative of the week. Seeking Alpha Director of News Jerry Kronenberg joins Kim Khan to break down the bond and futures action and what this means for a data-dependent Federal Reserve.

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Nonfarm payrolls growth cools in March, but unemployment rate tightens to 3.5%

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Breakfast Podcast.

0:03.4

This is a special edition of the podcast for the March payroll's numbers that are out on Good Friday,

0:09.6

even though it's a stop market holiday.

0:11.5

I'm your host, Kim Khan. I'm senior managing editor for

0:14.6

breaking news and with me is Jerry Cronenberg seeking alphas director of news.

0:20.0

I'm going to get straight into the payrolls numbers.

0:22.6

March payrolls were up by 236,000.

0:25.4

That was about in line with expectations,

0:29.0

which are ranging around 230 to 240K.

0:32.4

The unemployment rate dipped unexpectedly to 3.5 percent, that was due to a rise in the participation

0:39.9

rate to 62.6 percent up a tick from 62.5.

0:45.9

We can have the other major numbers in the report.

0:49.1

Average hourly earnings rose 0.3%,

0:52.2

that's right in line with forecasts a tad higher than February.

0:57.6

Average weekly hours worked, dipped down to 34.4.

1:02.2

So Jerry, what do you think about these numbers off top your head?

1:06.3

Well, Kim, to me, this seems to be the latest in a string of reports we got this week that

1:10.3

shows a slight weakening in the labor market, but not a major one and

1:14.2

probably not enough to satisfy the Fed. Now first of all, of course, we were

1:19.4

slightly weaker than expected here, but also earlier this week the ADP private payroll's numbers came

1:26.0

slightly weaker than they expected.

1:28.1

The Jolt's report, Jobopings and Labor Turnover Survey, which measures available jobs jobs came in the weakest they've been since May of 2021 and the challenger

...

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