In-B-Tween : Intrinsic Value and Bond Market Pressures (Investing Podcast)
The Investor's Podcast (We Study Billionaires) - The Investor’s Podcast Network
Stig Brodersen
4.6 • 3.6K Ratings
🗓️ 15 July 2015
⏱️ 4 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hey, how's everybody doing out there? This is Preston Pish and welcome to this week's |
| 0:03.9 | In-Bit-Tween-A-Sode. So I originally planned to talk to you about competitive advantages, |
| 0:08.7 | but the recent market activities encouraged me to talk about something a little bit different. |
| 0:12.6 | The topic for this week's quick discussion is intrinsic value in the rising pressure |
| 0:16.6 | in the US Treasury market. So billionaire Warren Buffett says that one of the most fundamental |
| 0:21.2 | elements in determining the value of an asset is constantly comparing the expected return |
| 0:25.4 | to the 10-year Treasury note. The reason Warren Buffett recommends the 10-year Treasury |
| 0:29.5 | is because he views it as a zero risk investment because the Federal Reserve can simply print |
| 0:33.7 | more money to service the payments. So the best way to think about Buffett's use of |
| 0:37.6 | the 10-year Treasury is to imagine a ruler or a yardstick. When Buffett wants to determine |
| 0:43.1 | the value of a stock, a corporate bond, or even a local business, he uses that zero risk |
| 0:48.6 | measurement tool to determine the risk versus the reward. So that's how you really need |
| 0:53.1 | to think about this when he talks about this 10-year Treasury. It's like a ruler or a measuring |
| 0:57.6 | stick for him. So if we estimated that a local business on Main Street would give us a |
| 1:01.6 | 10% return annually if we bought it at a certain price that would provide that return, Buffett |
| 1:06.7 | might say that he's getting a 4x or a 4x the return of the zero risk Treasury note. |
| 1:12.6 | So that's how he's really looking at it. He's using that as a tool for determining that |
| 1:16.6 | value. Now how I got 4x is because right now the 10-year Treasury is trading for 2.5%. |
| 1:22.8 | So what he would do is he would just say, hey, I'm getting a 10% return by owning that |
| 1:26.0 | business. If the Treasury is giving me a 2.5%, then this investment could potentially give |
| 1:31.4 | me a 4x higher return than that zero risk investment. This is an extremely important concept |
| 1:38.0 | to understand because this is how Buffett values all of the assets on his Berkshire balance |
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