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Wall Street Breakfast

Humana tumbles on Medicare numbers

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, Investing, Business, News

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 2 October 2024

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Members in top-rated Medicare plans for 2025 drop sharply. (0:16) Joby Aviation surges on Toyota investment. (2:08) Tesla deliveries fall short. (4:05)

Show Notes
BofA’s top 10 ideas for the fourth quarter
Barclays sees little upside for Super Micro

Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb
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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis.

0:11.0

Good afternoon. Today is Wednesday, October 2nd I'm your host Kim Khan. Our top story so far.

0:16.5

Humana is plunging after the health insurer disclose a sharp reduction in members

0:20.9

rolled in its Medicare Advantage plans rated four stars and above.

0:25.0

Citing preliminary 2025 MA star ratings data,

0:28.0

Humana said that the members enrolled in its plans rated four stars and above

0:32.0

reached roughly 1.6 million for 2025, or 25%

0:36.8

of all members, down from about a 94% enrollment for 2024.

0:41.6

As part of the Star rating system, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services

0:45.2

rewards plans with four or more stars with annual bonus payments.

0:49.6

Plans with higher ratings can receive higher bonuses in the following calendar year. But Humana contested the data

0:54.8

noting that there may be errors in the CMS's calculation. In a filing the company says there may be

1:00.5

potential errors in CMS's calculation of certain of its results and

1:04.4

industry threshold cut points, noting it will continue to engage with CMS to ensure

1:09.1

the numbers are accurate and reflects the plan's quality. The company added that it's exploring all

1:14.5

available options to mitigate the expected 2026 revenue headwind related to its

1:19.5

2025 star ratings in the event its challenges to the results are unsuccessful.

1:24.1

It added there is a risk to achieve an MA margin target of at least 3% by 2027.

1:29.5

But the 2025 stars results are not expected to impact Humana's financial results or outlook for

1:35.2

2024 or 2025.

1:38.1

Among other active stocks today, Barclays analyst George Wang sees a little upside for

1:42.4

super microcomputer near term as he adjusted his price target for $42, just about 50 cents above current levels.

...

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