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Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

Howard Marks on China, Risk, and Interest Rates

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

The Motley Fool

Business, Investing

4.33.1K Ratings

🗓️ 29 January 2023

⏱️ 38 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

If a key to personal happiness is low expectations, then a key to investing may be realistic expectations. Howard Marks is the co-founder and co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management. Motley Fool Director of Small Cap Research Bill Mann caught up with Marks to discuss: - Why higher interest rates created a “Sea Change” for investors - China’s economic miracle, and its impact on inflation - Lessons from the era of easy money - What life insurance companies can teach investors about risk To read Howard Marks' latest memo, click here: https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/sea-change   Host: Bill Mann Guest: Howard Marks Producer: Ricky Mulvey  Engineers: Rick Engdahl, Annie Franks Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

People would say, how can you invest in the debt of a company that's bankrupt?

0:05.2

And the answer is that even a bankrupt company has value.

0:08.8

And by the way, in the law, they call it the estate, like a dead person.

0:13.8

The estate has value.

0:15.6

And so, when everybody's throwing the debt out as if it has no value, if you can buy

0:20.5

it at a low price, maybe you can get a good return.

0:24.6

I'm Chris Hill, and that's Howard Marx, co-founder and co-chairman of Oak Tree Capital Management,

0:33.9

a leader in alternative investments, including the biggest distress debt fund in the world.

0:40.1

His memos are considered required reading by many investors, and his latest one describes

0:45.6

the widespread impacts of more normal interest rates.

0:50.1

Hillman caught up with Howard Marx to talk about why he likes sectors that other people

0:54.6

consider uninvestable.

0:56.8

His views on inflation, as well as winners and losers from the era of easy money.

1:05.2

You put out a letter and investing luminaries, you know, starting with Warren Buffett,

1:11.7

have said that when you put out a memo that he drops everything and reads it.

1:18.6

And I'm in the same boat.

1:21.0

And for you put out a memo in December, it was called C-Change.

1:26.2

And in C-Change, you describe what you see in 53 years of investing only the third, really,

1:36.2

the dawn of the third era of investing.

1:39.0

Now obviously, in that period of time, we've seen lots of fads, we've seen lots of trans,

1:45.1

but in this case, we're talking about something that is a total transformation.

1:50.4

And we have felt it too, but I wanted to take the opportunity to ask you, you know, really

...

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