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The Conversation with Dasha Burns

How Trump could repeat 2016

The Conversation with Dasha Burns

POLITICO

News, Government, Politics

4.01.6K Ratings

🗓️ 23 October 2020

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

By almost every measure, the likely outcome is that Joe Biden will win the White House. Yet less than two weeks before Election Day, the unfolding reality of 2020 is that it’s harder than ever to be sure. POLITICO's Charlie Mahtesian and Scott Bland lay out why they're not ruling out another surprise Trump victory on Nov. 3. Scott Bland is the host of Nerdcast and a politics editor for POLITICO.Charlie Mahtesian is a senior politics editor for POLITICO.Adrienne Hurst is an associate producer for POLITICO audio. Jenny Ament is a senior producer for POLITICO audio. Irene Noguchi is the executive producer of POLITICO audio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

It's almost like they're living an artificially enhanced life as a party.

0:09.0

This is nerdcast. I'm Scott Bland.

0:12.0

Win or lose, has President Trump planted a time bomb that will destroy the Republican Party,

0:18.0

or pick another colorful metaphor.

0:20.0

They are taking this drug that ultimately will kill them, but you know for the time being they can live on from one more election this one more election and what that drug is is the white vote.

0:31.6

They've been ramping up their percentages in recent elections just

0:35.6

turning the dial one more time, one more time, and winning an ever higher percentage of white votes at the same time though with a strategy that is alienating many

0:45.6

voters of color and many voters who are immigrants and all of that ultimately

0:50.1

the bill comes do at a certain point.

0:53.0

And on the flip side, what signs are we reading, what signs are we misinterpreting, what signs are hidden in plain sight that could potentially lead to a surprise Trump victory on November 3rd.

1:03.4

On the one hand there are these signs that Biden could win by a landslide and then on the

1:07.4

other we were just thinking of okay so how could how could Trump pull it off

1:12.0

because when you would talk to Republican Party officials especially at the local level

1:16.2

They're totally convinced that there's no trouble at all you know there's nothing to see here

1:20.0

Trump's gonna win and he's gonna win big big. You know, this time around, the electoral map is completely different.

1:25.7

The Democratic nominee is different.

1:27.4

He brings different strengths.

1:28.9

You know, the Great Lakes States, the Industrial Midwest are not what we thought.

1:32.6

There is no blue wall.

1:35.3

This misconception of the so-called blue wall

1:38.6

as this unbreakable barrier.

1:40.7

Or if there is, it's severely cracked as opposed to a barrier that Republicans had

...

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