How To Use Weekly Fantasy Football Projections In Your Process (Episode 431 with Adam Levitan, Drew Dinkmeyer, Mike Leone)
Establish The Run Fantasy Football
Fantasy Football
4.7 • 1.5K Ratings
🗓️ 5 September 2022
⏱️ 28 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Most people have used a DFS projection. But many don't know how they are made, what holes there could be, and how to use them. Adam Levitan, Mike Leone, and Drew Dinkmeyer discuss.
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Show Notes
In this episode, we discuss:
- The goal of a projection
- How we make them
- Holes to look for
- Tons more
Links mentioned in the episode:
- Underdog Best Ball Rankings - https://establishtherun.com/etrs-top-300-for-underdogfantasy/
- Silva’s Top 150 - https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-top-150/
- Dynasty Rankings - https://establishtherun.com/2022-dynasty-rankings/
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Timestamps:
2:34 - The Goal When Making Projections
4:55 - Explain the Math Behind it All
8:06 - How Altering Inputs Provides Advantages
10:19 - How to Handle Outliers
12:28 - Factoring in Inputs
15:19 - What Goes Into Ceiling Projections
19:45 - What Holes Come Up in Projections?
22:07 - IKBs (I Know Betters)
Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | Hey, hello, welcome to episode 431 of the official established and run.com podcast. |
| 0:21.8 | My name is Adam Levton and it's enough already. |
| 0:24.4 | I love season long, but let's be honest, it's time to sit down on our desktops. |
| 0:30.5 | Like Alphas, start compounding some edges, making some real goddamn money. |
| 0:34.9 | For this discussion, I am once again joined by Mike Leoni and Drew Digmire, King Sharps of the DFS Battleground. |
| 0:43.0 | Leoni, how goes it? |
| 0:45.0 | I thought this was the how to manage the waiver wire in the main event episode, how not adequately prepared. |
| 0:52.6 | Yeah, that episode, that episode sounds like a hell of a solo episode for you, Leoni. |
| 0:57.7 | That's an E.T. |
| 1:00.9 | Next episode of E.T. is going to be Leoni just making waiver claims on running bags. |
| 1:04.6 | Okay, I think has it going. |
| 1:06.8 | It's great every day that I don't wake up and have to file waiver claims is a great day. |
| 1:13.2 | On today's show, we are going to talk about projections for fantasy football. |
| 1:17.7 | You guys hear that word thrown around all the time. |
| 1:19.7 | You see our projections on the site, but I think it would be really helpful to dive into |
| 1:23.4 | how we make them, the process behind it, how to use them, possible holes, and more. |
| 1:28.3 | Before we get into it, important announcement. |
| 1:30.2 | Our player prop subscription is live on the site. |
| 1:34.2 | Have to be very clear. |
| 1:35.0 | This is totally separate from the fantasy subscription this season, just a total one off. |
| 1:40.1 | There's been so much interest in this props thing, and I get it. |
| 1:43.2 | We've been murdering the books by picking off, you know, 10, 15, 20, 25 of their bad |
... |
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