4.4 • 677 Ratings
🗓️ 27 May 2025
⏱️ 68 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by Jim Carroll. Jim runs the Vixology Substack, where he analyzes stock market volatility. He also serves as senior wealth adviser and portfolio manager for investment adviser Ballast Rock Private Wealth.
Jim kicks off the show by describing how he got his start in finance and how he found his way to volatility trading with CBOE Volatility Index ("VIX") futures. He breaks down what caused "Volmageddon" in February 2018, what he learned from the experience, and which specific factors drive the VIX. As Jim explains, many investors don't realize that the VIX can soar higher when everyone is piling into buying call options. (0:46)
Next, Jim talks about his "VIX Mix" composite of 17 different indicators that he uses as a warning signal for what's about to happen in the markets. This applies to both the downside and the upside, with the VIX Mix predicting crashes and rebounds alike. Though primarily for trading, Jim explains that long-term investors can use this tool to their advantage too, since they can prepare for bottoms and buy more stock when those drawdowns hit. He then warns listeners of several things they should keep in mind about volatility data, including small sample sizes, the fact that volatility clusters, and the outsized influence of institutional investors. (18:41)
Finally, Jim gives his opinions on VIX futures products, such as the popular Simplify Volatility Premium Fund (SVOL). He reminds listeners to beware of embedded leverage and to size their positions carefully – especially because the stock market has become like a giant casino. Jim also analyzes why the VIX is tilted more toward the bearish side, how "market makers" profit from investor fear, and how to more accurately gauge underlying sentiment. (40:15)
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
0:00.0 | Hello and welcome to the Stansberry Investor Hour. I'm Dan Ferris. I'm the editor of Extreme Value and the Ferris Report, both published by Stansberry Research. And I'm Corey McLaughlin, editor of the Stansberry Daily Digest. Today we talk with the vixologist Jim Carroll. Jim is a fantastic follow on Twitter. |
0:23.5 | If you're interested in volatility and the VIX, |
0:27.6 | you have to follow him at VIXologist on Twitter. |
0:28.7 | I highly recommend it. |
0:31.6 | I look at his feed every day and I get his emails. |
0:34.3 | It's really interesting stuff if you're into the VIX. |
0:36.5 | But let's not hear me talk about it. |
0:37.7 | Let's talk about it with Jim. |
0:39.0 | So let's do it. |
0:40.2 | Let's talk with Jim Carroll. |
0:41.4 | Let's do it right now. |
0:47.9 | Jim, welcome to the show. |
0:48.7 | Thanks for being here. |
0:51.3 | Hey, great to be with you, Dan. |
0:52.6 | Good to meet you, Corey. |
0:53.7 | You too. |
0:59.1 | I just want our listeners to know that Jim Carroll is the one and only vixologist. |
1:10.6 | And that, among other things, besides describing his calling in life, it also is his handle on Twitter, which is now called X.com. |
1:12.2 | But I'd rather call it Twitter because it's easier to figure out what you're talking about. And I highly recommend following him if you're on |
1:17.5 | Twitter because it's a real education. And that's what I'm hoping that he can help give you today. |
1:23.9 | Vixology 101. maybe we can do today. |
1:34.6 | First of all, Jim, you're a new guest, so maybe just tell our listeners a little bit about your background. |
... |
Please login to see the full transcript.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Stansberry Research, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of Stansberry Research and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2025.