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Stansberry Investor Hour

America Doesn't Own America Anymore

Stansberry Investor Hour

Stansberry Research

America, How, To, Crash, Money, Learn, Stansberry, Income, Research, Debt, Stocks, Porter, Business, Realestate, Banking, Investment, American, Investing, Invest, Howtosave, Sjuggerud, Ferris, Eifrig, Jubilee, Buck, Sexton, Market, Bonds, Churchouse, Savings, Options, Lashmet

4.4677 Ratings

🗓️ 19 May 2025

⏱️ 70 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Garrett Baldwin to the show. Garrett is a research economist, financial analyst, and investigative journalist. He's also a contributor to our flagship newsletter, Stansberry's Investment Advisory, as well as author of the Me and the Money Printer Substack. 

Garrett kicks off the show by explaining how he got his start in finance, why leaving the gold standard was the American economy's "core breaking point," and how liquidity is driving boom and bust cycles. He says that even though Consumer Price Index inflation can come in at 3% officially, actual currency debasement is 6% to 8% per year based on real assets. This leads Garrett to break down the "Cantillon effect," how everyday folks are most disadvantaged by excessive money printing, and why the American manufacturing sector has been destroyed. He also delves into the troubling trend of Americans essentially paying rent to foreign investors, why we'll "hit a wall" in 2026 or 2027, and how you can protect yourself from the inevitable fallout. (0:59)

Next, Garrett analyzes a pattern that warns him to flee the markets, plus the contrarian signal of insider buying that he uses to time his reentry into the markets. He notes that this trend has been playing out consistently since 2008 and allows those aware to successfully buy the dip. Garrett says that company fundamentals still matter, however, and he explains what he looks for in a company before investing. He then reviews liquidity versus momentum, the Federal Reserve's relationship to liquidity, a core problem with the traditional banking system, and why the Fed tolerates shadow banking. (21:48)

Finally, Garrett talks about the relationship between liquidity and bitcoin, why he likes silver today, and how quantitative easing paradoxically leads to a higher dollar. He explains that many paradoxes in our fiat currency system started in the 1990s, thanks to six major policy shifts and their incentives. Garrett goes in depth on how such policy has affected our financial system today and made the Fed more consequential for our wallets than the president. (41:38)

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome to the Stansberry Investor Hour. I'm Dan Ferris, I'm the editor of Extreme Value and the Ferris Report, both published by Stansberry Research.

0:09.4

And I'm Corey McLaughlin, editor of the Stansberry Daily Digest. Today we talk with Stansberry's Investment Advisory contributor, Garrett Baldwin.

0:17.8

Garrett is a very smart guy. He's studied lots of economics and lots of macro-fundamental type stuff.

0:25.6

I can't wait for you to hear this.

0:27.6

Get your pen and pencil out and take notes because it all speaks right to the very thing

0:33.6

that is in all the headlines right now about trade deficits and the role of the dollar

0:38.6

in the world, you will want to hear this because not only does he explain it very well, he explains

0:44.4

how to trade it very well. And he's been doing that. So let's do it, man. Let's talk with

0:51.0

Garrett Baldwin. Let's do it right now.

0:59.5

Thank you. Let's talk with Garrett Baldwin. Let's do it right now. Garrett, welcome to the show.

1:01.1

Good to have you here.

1:02.3

Thank you so much for having me today.

1:03.8

You're a new guest on the show, so maybe let's just get our listeners a little familiar with you.

1:09.9

Yeah, sure.

1:11.2

I have a bit of a odd background, but all roads point back to monetary policy.

1:16.8

It was a financial journalist by trade for years, worked on Wall Street for two years before the 2008 financial crisis.

1:23.9

And I honestly didn't really truly understand what had transpired in 2008.

1:28.9

So I ended up going on a four university odyssey where I studied economics, study finance,

1:35.6

study cross-border capital flows, and built out this kind of worldview that's shaped through

1:41.4

liquidity, insider buying, and momentum.

1:43.8

Those are the three primary things that I focused on for the last 12 years.

1:47.3

I've worked at Tasty Trade.

...

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