How To Invest During a Bubble
Money For the Rest of Us
J. David Stein
4.5 • 1.4K Ratings
🗓️ 20 August 2025
⏱️ 26 minutes
🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
From the dot-com boom to today’s AI frenzy, bubbles follow a familiar script. This episode explores how to recognize them, what sustains them, and how to position your portfolio without getting swept up in the hype.
Topics covered:
- How U.S. stock markets are the most concentrated and most expensive of all time
- What constitutes a bubble and what sustains it
- How to invest during a bubble
- Changes David recently made in his portfolio in response to the AI bubble
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Show Notes
I'm Changing How I Manage My Money Because of AI by Hank Green—YouTube
% S&P 500 share of top 10 companies by market cap %—Apollo Academy
Charted: S&P 500 Market Concentration Over 145 Years by Kayla Zhu—Visual Capitalist
AI’s Moment and Insights from Themes Past by Anil Rao—MSCI
How to invest in a stock market bubble by Stuart Kirk—The Financial Times
Related Episodes
535: Six Principles for Thriving Under Uncertainty and How Big Tech Is Doing the Opposite
503: U.S. Stocks Have Never Been This Overhyped or Expensive
500: The S&P 500 Index and the Decade Ahead
365: Why Some Asset Bubbles Don’t Burst
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Money for the rest of us. This is a personal finance show on money, how it works, |
| 0:05.5 | how to invest it, and how to live without worrying about it. I'm your host, David Stein. Today is |
| 0:11.2 | Episode 536. It's titled How to Invest During a Bubble. Twelve years ago in August 2013, |
| 0:18.0 | my son Brett and I spent a long weekend in Anaheim, California, so he could |
| 0:22.3 | attend VidCon, the YouTube conference founded by longtime YouTubers John and Hank Green, also |
| 0:28.3 | known as the Vlog Brothers. Each day of the conference, I dropped Brett off at the Anaheim Convention |
| 0:34.2 | Center while I spent the day hanging out in the L.A. area. John and Hank Green |
| 0:40.0 | continued to post regularly to their YouTube channel, which is close to 4 million subscribers. |
| 0:47.2 | Separately, Hank has his own channel with 2.5 million subscribers. It's primarily a science-based channel, but he covers other topics. |
| 0:56.7 | Ten days ago, he released a video that has over a million views. It was titled, |
| 1:02.5 | I am changing how I manage my money because of AI. Now, Hank is not a personal finance |
| 1:08.6 | YouTuber, and he was hesitant to post the video. |
| 1:11.7 | One commenter wrote, science YouTuber makes a finance video is a recession indicator. |
| 1:18.2 | Brett had pointed out the video to me, I watched it, and what Hank said echoed a lot of what we |
| 1:24.2 | have discussed regarding AI and investing over the past several years. |
| 1:30.7 | Hank had pointed out that his primary investment, if not his only investment, has been |
| 1:36.3 | in an S&P 500 index fund. But now that investment was getting more and more concentrated, with top 10 holdings making up 38% of the |
| 1:49.6 | index. That is an all-time high. Back in the internet bubble of 1999 and 2000, the top 10 only made up |
| 1:59.7 | 27% of the S&P 500. If we go back over the decades, the top 10 have |
| 2:06.7 | never really exceeded 30% of the S&P 500 except for this year. And then if we look at the top five, |
| 2:15.4 | they're all technology stocks. And they make up 28.5% of the index. |
| 2:21.2 | That's Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and meta. If we look globally, the top 10 global stocks, |
... |
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