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Odd Lots

How the US Treasury Will Fund the Next $20 Trillion in Debt

Odd Lots

Bloomberg

Business, News, News Commentary, Investing, Business News

4.52K Ratings

🗓️ 12 August 2024

⏱️ 50 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

When it comes to financing the US government's borrowing needs, the Treasury Department has some discretion in how it's done. It can sell 30-year Treasuries. It can sell 10-year Treasuries. It can sell a lot of three-month T-bills. Every quarter, it's always going to be some kind of mix. And in theory, the decisions about where on the curve it issues debt can have effects on the market and the economy, since different instruments have different liquidity and risk profiles. Recently, the Treasury has come under criticism for issuing a lot of short-dated debt. Some economists have dubbed it "Activist Treasury Issuance," with the allegation that Janet Yellen & Co. are purposely trying to counteract the impact of the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening by issuing less debt at the long end of the curve. So is there anything to these criticisms? And how exactly does the Treasury go about making these decisions anyway? On this episode, we speak to a dissenting voice who argues that the Treasury has approached the task using the same methods it has always employed. Amar Reganti is a fixed-income strategist at Wellington Management and Hartford Funds, who earlier in his career spent four years at Treasury in the Office of Debt Management. He walks us through the Treasury's general issuance approach, why the funding mix changes over time, why it's been issuing more at the short end in recent quarters, and the overall strategy the government will use to fund what the Congressional Budget Office estimates will be another $20 trillion worth of borrowing over the next decade. 

Read More at Bloomberg.com:

Mnuchin Says It's Time to Kill the Treasury Bond He Created
The Trillion Dollar Legal Memo: FOIA Files

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Transcript

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Podcasts, radio news.

0:52.4

Hello.

1:04.0

Hello and I'm Tracy Allaway. Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast.

1:08.0

I'm Jill Wiesenthal.

1:09.0

And I'm Tracy Allaway.

1:11.0

Tracy, every once in a while,

1:12.9

and I mostly see this on Twitter, if I'm being honest,

1:15.9

but every once in a while,

1:17.7

I see people trying to make a big deal

1:20.8

about like the quarterly refunding announcement by the Treasury is if it's

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