How the New NBA Lottery Reform Shakes Up Tanking and Team Strategy and Impacts the Bucks

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4.7 • 561 Ratings

🗓️ 29 April 2026

⏱️ 29 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

NBA lottery reform reshapes the draft landscape—will the Milwaukee Bucks benefit, or face new risks in a rapidly evolving league? Justin Garcia and Camille Davis unpack the new 16-team "3-2-1" ping pong ball system, discuss relegation threats for bottom teams, and question the impact of stricter anti-tanking measures. Is this a step toward true parity, or does it punish struggling franchises without a clear path to recovery? The conversation highlights how these sweeping changes could influence trade strategies, draft protections, and Milwaukee’s roster decisions—especially with the Bucks’ own draft picks tied up for several years. What does this mean for Giannis Antetokounmpo’s future, and can Taylor Jenkins’ expected coaching hire keep Milwaukee competitive amid chaos? With the Eastern Conference playoff picture stirring up unexpected drama, Justin and Camille explore whether turbulence across the NBA could open a window of opportunity—or a world of trouble—for the Bucks. Everydayer Club If you never miss an episode, it’s time to make it official. Join the Locked On Everydayer Club and get ad-free audio, access to our members-only Discord, and more — all built for our most loyal fans. Click here to learn more and join your team’s community: https://lockedonpodcasts.com/everydayerclub Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors! 5-Hour ENERGY Get candy-flavored chaos with Fruity Rainbow 5-hour ENERGY®️ Shots - available online at https://5hourENERGY.com or Amazon KALSHI For a limited time, download the Kalshi app and use code LOCKEDON to get ten dollars when you trade ten. Kalshi. Trade on anything. DoorDash From tipoff to overtime, stay in your bag and order on DoorDash. Get snacks, drinks, gear — whatever gets you through the season — delivered right to your door. DoorDash. In your bag all season long. Indeed Listeners of this show get a $75 Sponsored Job Credit to help give your job the premium placement it deserves at http://Indeed.com/podcast Gametime Today's episode is brought to you by Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDON for $20 off your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply. FanDuel Today's episode is brought to you by FanDuel. Right now new customers can bet just five dollars and get two-hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets if your first bet wins. Visit https://FANDUEL.COM to get started — Play Your Game. FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

Transcript

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0:00.0	The latest details on the lottery reform, what it means for the Bucks and the chaos theory in the playoffs.
0:08.2	Is it good or bad for the Bucks?
0:09.3	We explain coming up after this.
0:16.2	You are Locked on Bucks, your daily Milwaukee Bucks podcast, part of the Locked On podcast network, your team every day.
0:27.8	Welcome into Locked on Bucks. My name is Justin Garcia, joined as always by Camille Davis.
0:32.2	You can hear me in season on the Bucks Radio Network. You can hear and see Camille as part of our Lockedon NBA coverage and the technical file podcast as well. We thank you for helping make this the number one sports
0:42.5	podcast network in the industry. And today's show, we have finally gotten the details of the lottery
0:49.7	reform as some trickling out of Shamshurani. And we have a May 28 vote on this. The fact that it's
0:57.4	coming out now means they know they have the votes for it. So what this means for the bucks.
1:02.5	And you've heard us mention the chaos theory in this playoffs. Should we be rooting for that?
1:08.4	Or is it a be careful what you wish for type of stance here?
1:11.8	We'll examine that in just a moment.
1:14.2	But let's start with the update to lottery here is when we last spoke,
1:20.0	Camille, we were talking about an 18 team lottery where 1 through 10 had an 8% chance.
1:27.1	The 11 through 18 teams would have like a 2 or 2.5% chance.
1:31.6	And it sounds like what we're getting is a modified version of that
1:37.2	with a whole lot of other caveats sprinkled in.
1:41.2	So we both learned of this just before we started recording this. If it sounds like
1:46.6	we're still trying to figure out it's because we are. But it's 16 teams. And there's a basically
1:57.0	relegation that's worked in here in the lottery.
2:01.1	And there's also some nuances behind pick protections,
2:04.4	which I know we both have some thoughts on.
	...

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