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🗓️ 26 March 2021
⏱️ 9 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to our exchanges at Goldman Sachs Markets Update for Friday, March 26. |
0:08.7 | Each week we check in with a leader across the firm to get a quick take on what they're watching in markets. |
0:13.6 | This week we're looking at global supply chains, a topic that's much in the news, and what the |
0:19.3 | problems and issues there mean for producers, consumers, and the economy. |
0:23.2 | I'm Jake Stewart, Global Head of Corporate Communications here at the firm, |
0:26.2 | and today I'm delighted to be joined by Joseph Briggs, an economist at Goldman Sachs Research |
0:31.2 | who recently published a report looking at this |
0:34.2 | topic specifically Joseph Walker in the program. |
0:36.7 | It's great to be speaking with today Jake. So Joseph the problems with global supply |
0:41.2 | chains began pretty early in the pandemic when manufacturing facilities |
0:44.4 | in China just shut down and we all went scrambling for some basic goods. |
0:48.9 | A year later, the disruptions in supply chains are still wreaking havoc but it's a little different. |
0:53.2 | So help us understand the nature of the challenges facing supply chains and what's |
0:57.4 | changed since the pandemic began. |
0:59.8 | Yeah, we've really seen two distinct supply chain stories play out over the last year, Jake. |
1:04.0 | The disruptions from last spring are pretty easy to understand since it's hard to get parts and |
1:09.3 | inputs from factories in China that are completely shut down. |
1:12.1 | The current disruptions are a bit more complicated and a bit more tied to the overall macro picture. |
1:18.0 | So last spring, a lot of manufacturers started to cut back on production because they expected that incomes and spending would fall the way that they typically do in a recession. |
1:27.0 | Instead, the opposite happened. Income surge due to generous fiscal support and spending on goods actually picked up quite a bit because |
1:34.5 | households had money to spend but the normal consumer services that they would spend |
1:38.6 | on were largely unavailable. The good news about the surge in good demand is that it led to a quick recovery for the manufacturing sector. |
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