4.4 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 7 March 2023
⏱️ 29 minutes
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0:00.0 | Stronger economic data has recently raised concerns that inflation is likely to remain stickier than expected. |
0:07.0 | So how much higher could interest rates go? |
0:09.0 | I think we're getting close to the top of the mountain, and I just think we're going to sit at the top for a long time. |
0:14.3 | I'm Allison Nathan and this is exchanges at Goldman Sachs. |
0:21.5 | To help us understand the direction of interest rates and the implications for investors, |
0:26.2 | I spoke with Rick Reader, Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income at Black Rock, |
0:30.8 | as well as Praveen Corapotti, chief interest |
0:33.2 | strategist in Goldman Sachs research. We first turned to Rick for some |
0:36.9 | context on the drivers of the bond market's performance this year. |
0:40.9 | It would be useful to just get some context and obviously we entered |
0:45.2 | this year with bond markets rallying and a lot of people interpreted that in |
0:50.0 | different ways. So how did you interpret heading into the year? |
0:53.7 | I think there's a couple of things. First of all, you know, one of the things I've found about |
0:56.8 | the industry is that there's this extraordinary focus on surveys and I've never really |
1:01.0 | understood. By the way, I've learned it's like election polls. |
1:04.0 | They like, people all go the same way. |
1:05.8 | They were say the same thing at the same time. |
1:08.0 | It's we go to November, December. |
1:09.9 | It was this ubiquitous view that the economy is going on a recession or deep recession. |
1:15.1 | It was just a question of how deep this recession would be. |
1:18.0 | And of course, I forget that that was overdone. |
1:19.7 | And I don't believe that we're going into recession. |
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