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Your Money Guide on the Side

How Much Can I Spend in Retirement?

Your Money Guide on the Side

Tyler Gardner

Business, Education, Entrepreneurship, Investing, How To

4.92.4K Ratings

🗓️ 23 June 2025

⏱️ 27 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

And in case you missed it, check out last week's episode of Your Money Guide on the Side with JL Collins where we answer the question, How do I get F-You Money?  What if the most common retirement rule was never meant to be a rule at all? In this episode, we unpack the origins, flaws, and overlooked nuances of the 4% rule—and why it might not be the best way to plan your financial future. From its fear-based beginnings to its rigid application in a dynamic world, Tyler breaks down 5 key reasons to rethink the 4% rule altogether. You’ll learn: Where the 4% rule actually came from (hint: worst-case scenario thinking) What the Trinity Study really showed—and what most people ignore How sequence of returns risk can silently wreck your plan Why portfolio size and asset allocation matter far more than a static percentage Smarter, more dynamic strategies to adjust year-by-year If you’ve ever asked, "How much can I safely spend in retirement?"—this one’s for you. 📝 Leave a review if you enjoy the episode or send your thoughts to socialcapconnect@gmail.com. This show is for you, and we want it to be as good as it can be.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Retirement is not a game of precision. It's a practice of constant adjustment. No model will

0:09.6

ever know the exact path ahead. Every study you've read is about the past, and every tool you've

0:16.8

used is some projection of the future that will never quite unfold the way in which we

0:22.4

imagine. So stop trying to model your current decision on a battle we've already fought,

0:28.6

or the one that the tea leaves say is about to come. Hello, friends. This is Tyler Gardner,

0:35.8

welcoming you to another episode of your Money Guide

0:38.6

on the side, where it is my job to simplify what seems complex, add nuance to what seems simple,

0:44.8

and learn from, and alongside some of the brightest minds in money, finance, and investing.

0:50.3

So let's get started and get you one step closer to where you need to be.

0:55.1

I've always had a hard time with the 4% rule, not because it's completely wrong, but because it's

1:04.6

overly simplistic. It's rooted in worst-case scenario thinking. And over time, it's been treated as gospel for one of the

1:13.3

biggest financial decisions of your life, when to stop working and start living. Or in other words,

1:20.7

how much money can I spend each year and still be okay for the rest of my life? In today's

1:26.0

episode, I'd like to explore five reasons why you should give some serious thought

1:31.8

to the 4% rule, if you will, before adopting it for your own purposes.

1:37.0

And by episode's end, hopefully you will not only know exactly what the rule is and where it comes

1:43.5

from, but also how it might impact you

1:46.6

and your choices moving forward. And if there might be even a better way to think about your

1:52.3

money than by adhering to a rule that was, well, never meant to be a rule. And as always,

1:59.8

if any of this is helpful, please consider leaving a review,

2:02.3

as it helps more people find us and join the conversation. If you've got feedback or ideas,

2:07.4

shoot me a note directly at social cap connect at gmail.com. I read every message, and the show is

...

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