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The Indicator from Planet Money

How mortgage interest rates work (and why they're currently out of whack)

The Indicator from Planet Money

NPR

Business

4.79.5K Ratings

🗓️ 28 August 2024

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Even with falling interest rates in recent weeks, mortgage rates are still higher than you'd expect.

Mortgage interest rates are usually a little less than two percentage points higher than what you would get on a 10-year Treasury bond. But for the last couple of years that difference has been noticeably higher: 2.6% at the moment. New borrowers have been paying potentially thousands of dollars extra each year on their mortgages.

Today on the show, how mortgage interest rates work and why they're currently out of whack ... with new borrowers footing the bill.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

NPR.

0:04.0

There is a

0:05.0

There is a

0:08.0

There is a mystery in the

0:11.0

there is a mystery in the mortgage market. The long-running relationship

0:16.5

between mortgage interest rates and 10-year Treasury bonds, 10-year loans to the

0:21.2

US government, has changed.

0:23.6

That's right.

0:24.6

In normal times, mortgage interest rates are usually a little less than 2 percentage points

0:29.6

higher than what you would get on a 10-year Treasury.

0:33.0

So let's say treasuries are paying 4%,

0:36.0

you would expect a mortgage interest rate of a little less than 6%.

0:40.0

But over the last couple of years,

0:42.0

that relationship has broken down.

0:44.5

One of our listeners Matt Gazulis noticed this and asked us about it.

0:48.5

I had noticed that they had been above 2% and historically speaking that is very high.

0:57.0

Matt, we are on the case, we're going to figure out what is happening here.

1:02.0

This is the indicator from Planet Money, I'm Waylon Wong.

1:04.3

And I'm Darien Woods. Today on the show how mortgage interest rates work and why they are currently

1:09.9

out of whack with new borrowers footing the bill. This message is brought to you by Warby Parker.

1:23.0

Their glasses start at $95,

1:25.0

including anti-reflective scratch-resistant prescription lenses

...

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