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The Journal.

How High Will Interest Rates Go?

The Journal.

The Wall Street Journal

Business News, Daily News, News

4.25.8K Ratings

🗓️ 31 October 2022

⏱️ 16 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

For months the Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates at a fast and furious pace to combat inflation. Now some Fed officials are advocating for a slower, steadier approach. WSJ’s Nick Timiraos explains the debate within the Fed over just how high interest rates should go. Further Reading: -Two Fed Officials Make Case for Caution With Future Interest Rate Raises -Fed Set to Raise Rates by 0.75 Point and Debate Size of Future Hikes Further Listening: -The Fed’s Plan to Curb Inflation -Can the Fed Lower Inflation Without Causing a Recession? -The Fed’s Shifting Inflation Message Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

The Federal Reserve has a big job, keeping the economy running smoothly.

0:10.7

And their main tool for doing that is raising and lowering interest rates.

0:16.9

People have a lot of analogies for this.

0:19.5

Car analogies are especially popular.

0:21.6

When the Fed lowers interest rates, economists say it's like hitting the gas to make the economy

0:26.9

go faster.

0:27.9

Or is raising interest rates is like slamming on the brakes.

0:32.2

Our colleague Nick Timmeros covers the Fed.

0:34.2

And he told us about another analogy.

0:36.8

The boozy punch bowl at a party.

0:39.2

There was a Fed chairman in the 1950s and 60s who said the Fed's job was to take away the

0:44.8

punch bowl just as the party was getting started.

0:47.8

In this case, the boozy punch is low interest rates.

0:51.9

And so if you think of the stimulus that the Fed provides in downturns, you don't want

0:56.2

to leave the punch bowl out too long.

0:58.2

Uh-huh.

0:59.2

It's like you want to get you want to have the punch bowl out long enough so people can

1:01.7

get a little buzz, but not so long that they have a hangover tomorrow.

1:05.1

You've got to kill the party before it gets too wild.

1:07.3

Of course, if you don't like any of those analogies, you can always make up your own.

1:11.9

The one that I was thinking of that I think we should maybe try to like make a thing is

1:15.8

you don't want to give too much sugar to little kids.

...

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