How high can oil go?
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 8 March 2026
⏱️ 4 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this week's |
| 0:09.8 | market-moving events, along with the weekend's top news and analysis. |
| 0:13.3 | Hello, today is Sunday March 8th, and I'm your host, Kim Khan. |
| 0:17.2 | The oil market will remain the key focus this week after WTI Crude posted its biggest weekly |
| 0:22.1 | rise since the contract launched in 1983, up 36%. |
| 0:26.2 | WTI and Brent Futures that are traded on the hyperliquid blockchain top $95 a barrel over the weekend. |
| 0:32.7 | On IG Group's weekend market, which offers spread betting and CFDs, U.S. crude was trading just below 95. |
| 0:39.2 | Kuwait has reduced production and refining as the conflict in the Middle East sends ripple |
| 0:42.6 | effects across the region, including a near total shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz. |
| 0:46.8 | Meanwhile, Qatar's energy minister warned that Persian Gulf exporters could shut down production |
| 0:50.9 | within days, potentially driving oil to $150 a barrel. |
| 0:55.0 | Prediction markets are also pricing in further upside. On polymarket traders see about a 25% |
| 1:00.1 | chance that oil tops $150 a barrel, a 90% probability it moves above $100, and a roughly 7% chance |
| 1:07.0 | that declines past $200. Economists of Goldman Sachs say a sustained 10% rise in oil prices typically boosts headline |
| 1:13.8 | CPI by about 28 basis points. |
| 1:16.7 | If oil prices increased by $10 and remain elevated for three months, U.S. year-over-year |
| 1:21.8 | headline CPI inflation could likely rise from 2.4% in January to 3% in May, they said. |
| 1:28.6 | We'll get the latest consumer inflation numbers on Wednesday when the February CPI is released. |
| 1:33.1 | Forecasts call for a 0.3% monthly gain in the headline, |
| 1:36.5 | with the annual rate nudging up to 2.5%. |
| 1:38.9 | Core CPI is expected to rise 0.2% on the month, |
| 1:42.0 | with the yearly rate holding at 2.5. |
... |
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