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Science Quickly

How Fit Is Bitcoin?

Science Quickly

Scientific American

Science

4.41.4K Ratings

🗓️ 21 November 2017

⏱️ 2 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

A new analysis treats bitcoins and other cryptocurrencies as species in an evolutionary model—and finds bitcoin has no selective advantage. Christopher Intagliata reports. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is scientific American 60 second science. I'm Christopher Intagiyata.

0:07.0

There are now more than 16 million

0:09.0

Bitcoin's in circulation with a total market cap of $130 billion. That's more than the market value of

0:15.9

Netflix, Priceline, or Starbucks. Just going by numbers, Bitcoin is the one coin to rule

0:21.8

them all.

0:22.8

But if you consider the spectrum of 600 actively traded

0:25.6

crypto coins as a financial ecosystem,

0:28.9

well then you can take an evolutionary approach

0:30.8

and ask which is the fittest of the coins or in other words every

0:35.2

cryptocurrency so be coin a theory there are many are a different species

0:40.3

Andrea Barumkelli a network scientist at City University of London.

0:44.0

He and his team used evolutionary models to approximate the real world behavior of

0:48.6

crypto currencies. Each week of currency trading was treated as a new generation of progeny.

0:54.0

Reporting their results in the Journal of Royal Society Open Science,

0:57.5

they found that a so-called neutral model of evolution best explained coin behavior, meaning no coin had a selective advantage.

1:05.7

Which implies this.

1:06.7

Investors choose which cryptocurrencies to invest in only proportionally to the

1:11.7

cryptocurrency's market share and nothing else so they are not

1:15.3

apparently considering other fundamentals like for example the underlying technology

1:20.6

or the purpose for which a certain

1:23.1

cryptocurrency has been designed for.

1:25.4

They are just sampling each cryptocurrencyly to its current market share.

...

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