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Coffee House Shots

How Europe’s consensus on Ukraine broke down

Coffee House Shots

The Spectator

News, Politics, Government, Daily News

4.42.1K Ratings

🗓️ 18 February 2025

⏱️ 13 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The future of Ukraine is being decided in a meeting between US and Russian diplomats in Saudi Arabia today. So far, we understand that America will insist that Ukraine is recognised as a sovereign nation, but NATO membership remains off the table. Meanwhile, European leaders have been cut out of the conversations. In response, they held their own summit yesterday, but it didn’t seem like they were all singing from the same hymn sheet. While the UK is pushing for higher defence spending and is willing to commit troops, other European nations seem more dovish, especially Germany and Italy. This is reflected in opinion polls as well. What's going on? 

Oscar Edmondson speaks to James Heale and James Johnson, director at JL Partners.

Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

We're hosting our first Coffee House Shots live event of 2025 on the 26th of February at the

0:04.8

Emmanuel Centre in Westminster. Join Michael Gove, Katie Bulls, Kate Andrews and very special guests,

0:10.9

Jonathan Ashworth and Robert Jenrick for a look to the year ahead. They'll be tackling such questions

0:15.7

as, can the Chancellor reframe the budget in her first spring statement? What will Trump's first

0:20.6

100 days look like? And will reform cause and upset at the local elections? For tickets,

0:25.4

go to spectator.co.com.uk forward slash coffeehouse live.

0:33.4

Hello and welcome to Coffee House Shots, the Spectator's Daily Politics Podcast. I'm Oskredminson, and I'm

0:39.6

joined today by two of Westminster's most authoritative Jameses, our very own James Heel and James

0:45.9

Johnson, director at J.L. Partners. Now, it looks like the future of Ukraine is being decided

0:52.9

in a meeting between US and Russian diplomats

0:55.3

in Saudi Arabia today. In response, European leaders, of course, had their own summit yesterday,

1:01.0

but it didn't seem like they were all singing quite from the same hymn sheet. James Heel,

1:06.5

could you bring us up to speed? Sure. So this is the four-hour meeting today between Rubio and Lavrov in

1:12.7

Saudi Arabia and not too much surprise what's come out of that thus far. There's going to have to

1:18.3

be an acknowledgement. America says that Russia will need to respect the fact that Ukraine is a sovereign

1:22.8

nation. And Russia, of course, is talking about the fact that NATO membership needs to be forever off the table.

1:28.5

Nothing too surprising at this stage.

1:30.5

The Europeans and the Ukrainians have been cut out of these talks.

1:33.4

Meanwhile, Zelensky's been having a press conference with Erdogan, criticising the very nature of them.

1:38.7

But I think that the last 24 hours have completely shown in microcosm why the situation has come to be this way.

1:45.0

We had this big Paris talks yesterday, Starmoff going into them saying they were going to be once a

1:49.2

generation, etc. And what happens? They come out of them. You have Olaf Schultz and the Germans

...

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