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Today, Explained

How Dylan got inflation wrong

Today, Explained

Vox

Politics, Daily News, News

4.3 • 10.3K Ratings

🗓️ 19 April 2022

⏱️ 25 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Last year, Vox correspondent Dylan Matthews didn’t think inflation would be a big deal. He wasn’t the only one to miss the mark. This episode was produced by Will Reid, edited by Matt Collette, engineered by Paul Mounsey, fact-checked by Laura Bullard, and hosted by Noel King. Transcript at vox.com/todayexplained   Support Today, Explained by making a financial contribution to Vox! bit.ly/givepodcasts Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

It's today explained on the will king for months my colleague Dylan Matthews the senior correspondent

0:05.0

at Vox was of a particular opinion about inflation he said and many economists said do not worry.

0:12.3

My new opinion is that I am somewhat worried about inflation.

0:18.5

In my defense I was not alone in that prediction and I've done a lot of thinking recently about why I got that wrong

0:24.3

and why other people might have gotten it wrong and how we got into the current situation where

0:28.5

inflation really is something to worry about.

0:30.5

It's 8.5%.

0:33.0

It's high. It's getting to a level we haven't seen since the 1970s early 1980s when inflation became sort of the defining

0:40.5

issue in American politics and really caused a great deal of damage and so we're very much not out of the danger zone.

0:47.0

Coming up what economists and Dylan got wrong about inflation and how we might get out of the danger zone.

1:17.0

As Bill Sykes with original music by Dan Gillespie Cells subscription required see audible.co.uk for terms.

1:31.0

Best gift I've ever received has to be a bike when I was younger a pedal bike.

1:36.0

It was a sort of slick little road bike and I remember it was all like it was so it was all wrapped up

1:41.5

it was so obvious it was obviously because nothing shaped like a bike and I had a little ribbon on it and I was so

1:46.0

full of that was a life changer and I'm still sort of big on cycling around my area now so full of that one changed me a little.

1:53.0

Joy in every sip with red cups now back at Starbucks.

2:07.0

Dylan Matthews senior correspondent at Vox last year to you it seemed like inflation would be transitory there would be an end to it.

2:15.0

Yeah in 2021 there was kind of a sense by me and some other people that inflation was happening in a few goods but not everything.

2:22.0

It seemed like cars were getting a lot more expensive it seemed like gas and food were getting more expensive and my general attitude was you know this isn't great but this

2:31.0

too shall pass and it just kept not passing and worse kept spreading to areas other than gas and cars and food into places where you

2:42.0

wouldn't expect some of the shortages we were seeing to necessarily be driving prices up to your credit you weren't the only person who doubted

2:49.0

that inflation would get this bad or last for this long were you.

...

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