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How Dan Morehead’s Pantera Capital Achieved an 86% Success Rate | Markets Outlook

CoinDesk Podcast Network

CoinDesk

Tech News, Business News, Daily News, News

4.7698 Ratings

🗓️ 5 February 2026

⏱️ 11 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Live from the Ondo Summit in NYC, Pantera Capital Founder, Dan Morehead joins Jennifer Sanasie and Sam Ewen for a special Markets Outlook to explain why he’s more bullish now than when he launched the first US crypto fund in 2013. Morehead revisits his "freaky" prediction that saw Bitcoin peak on the exact day he forecast years prior and outlines the path to a $750,000 price target. He breaks down the recent IPO wave and why the next 18 months will be defined by a massive consolidation of Digital Asset Treasuries. - Timecodes: 1:15 - Morehead’s Rule for Holding Through a "Sea of Red"3:36 - What to Do When Your Portfolio is Underwater4:23 - The Path to $750K Bitcoin5:15 - How the Crypto IPO Wave Returns Billions to the Ecosystem6:08 - Pantera’s 86% Success Rate Over 12 Years of Investing7:27 - The Great DAT Consolidation10:01 - Why This Is Just the Beginning for Institutional Adoption - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie and Sam Ewen.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Part of it is we have a great team, we work really hard.

0:02.5

But I'll be honest, part of it is just crypto is such an amazing space. And so it is so much less risky than the press kind of makes it seem. And so that's why I think, you know, getting exposure now versus five now, it's still so important.

0:33.3

Let's get to the first guest of the day, a pioneer who launched one of the first crypto funds in the U.S. back in 2013, Pinterra Capitals founder and managing partner Dan

0:39.0

Morehead, Dan. Hello. Thanks for having me. It's great for you to be here. How are you doing?

0:44.2

I'm great. It's a great conference. It is a great conference. Now, Sam and I were just talking

0:48.7

about markets this morning, sea of red out there. I love that we have you at the desk as our first guest

0:55.1

because Pinterra first launched its crypto fund in the U.S. when Bitcoin was just at $65 a coin.

1:03.0

You've been through the ups and downs. What should folks, advisors, institutions, and even retail

1:07.5

traders who are looking at what's happening in the markets and trying to make sense of it

1:10.7

before they maybe dive in for the first time.

1:13.3

What should they be thinking about?

1:14.8

Sure.

1:15.3

Hey, I'll admit if we sat down on New Year's Day 2025 and listed out all of the very positive developments that would happen with the SEC and Congress passing stable coin legislation, all those things.

1:30.3

And you would have said, hey, crypto up or down?

1:31.4

I would have said up.

1:33.7

And crypto was down 9% last year.

1:38.2

I think it's a function of this, the hype cycle.

1:43.7

Crypto is going to change the world, and anything that important gets a little too hypey. And it also does have a four-year cycle.

1:47.0

And when I got into this in 2011, someone mentioned it to me and I was like,

1:51.0

hey, if we all know it's going to happen, it can't happen, right?

1:55.0

But it does happen each time.

1:57.0

And after Taraluna and FTX and Bitcoin was at about 20,000, we did all our work on previous cycles

...

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