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On The Market

How America Could Soon Be Oversupplied with Homes

On The Market

BiggerPockets

Investing, Education, Business, News

4.8859 Ratings

🗓️ 21 April 2026

⏱️ 39 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

For years, we’ve been promised that a “tsunami” of homes would hit the market as Baby Boomers age, move into senior housing, and pass away. We’ve been waiting…and waiting, but we’re still millions of housing units short. Yet, even without a “silver tsunami,” another trend could push us toward a housing supply glut in the future—new builds. Builder sentiment has dropped to a seven-month low. Homes are sitting empty, huge concessions are being offered, but the buyers are few and far between. Longer absorption periods mean higher holding costs for builders, prompting larger incentives to sell these homes. But, with mortgage rates bouncing back up to the mid-six percent range, who wants to buy? Very few Americans, and that’s the problem. Between Baby Boomers slowly trickling inventory into the housing market and builders creating more supply than (financeable) demand, is this the tipping point where we go from an undersupplied to an oversupplied housing market? In this headline episode, we’re getting into it, plus a “ban” on one of America’s hottest real estate assets.  In This Episode We Cover Is the silver tsunami ever going to hit? Why Baby Boomer homes aren’t reaching the market Where home prices have the highest chance of falling if the Baby Boomer supply hits the market The major opportunity for real estate investors to pick up seriously discounted new-build homes A new real estate asset “ban” that’s affecting over 15 states in the country Will we flip from a housing deficit to oversupply? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 403 - You Have Until 2031: What Happens When Population Starts to Decline? Calculated Risk Reuters: US home builder sentiment drops to seven-month low in April, NAHB survey says WSJ: America’s Self-Storage Craze Has Reached a Tipping Point Associated Press: The US is short 10 million houses. A new White House report lays out a blueprint to fix that Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab The Book on Negotiating Real Estate Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-418. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

People have been screaming about the silver tsunami for more than a decade.

0:03.8

But what does the recent data and a new analysis say about housing demand in the generations

0:10.2

to come?

0:11.2

How will builder sentiment and construction trends potentially offset some lower housing demand?

0:18.4

And will one of the hottest asset classes in real estate get banned from

0:23.0

major metro areas? Today, we're going through the most important headlines making news

0:28.1

in the real estate world. This is on the market. Let's get to it.

0:37.3

James, Kathy, what's going on? How are you, Kathy? I am doing amazing. I'm in Snowbirds

0:43.9

Business Center. I hope nobody is planning on doing any business today because I'm dominating

0:48.4

this room today. But I had a very surprising wake up this morning. There was eight inches of fresh pow.

0:55.5

And I can't even believe it.

0:57.0

Like, it's somehow this season just came at the end of April.

1:01.1

I'm so jealous.

1:02.7

James, how are you?

1:03.9

Are you as good as you look right now?

1:05.7

You know, I just got good lighting going on, I think, right now.

1:08.2

That's really what it is.

1:09.8

All right.

1:10.6

Well, we got housing market

1:12.9

activity to talk about me, Kathy, and James each brought a story. Henry, by the way, I think is at

1:18.7

his daughter's dance recital, which is just adorable. So we're going to let him off the hook for that.

1:23.3

But we have important stories to talk about today. And I think I'm just going to go first because I just read this super interesting article.

...

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