All right, five o'clock, great to have you with us, you missed anything, Odyssey.com,

rewind.

That is not true, please behave yourself.

Okay, so listen, I have a baseball team that is three games out of a wild card.

Yet, according to fan graphs, is only given a 9.8% chance of making the wild card.

I want to know which of the numbers is more real.

Now think about it for a minute.

As much as I am cynical and I try to be pragmatic and I like math,

I don't think the fan grafts number is fair to the Tigers,

because I don't think it's baking in how

awful the twins have been six and fifteen in their last twenty one even last night they were well on their way to blowing a

six-nothing lead. It was six-four and the angels had two ducks on the pond.

I mean, you know, winning run was on base. Now they extended extended ended up winning 10-4 I'm saying

nothing is easy for the twins right now 17 games to go your three games out

here's the rub the twins hold the tiebreaker on you. So there won't be a game 163

meaning you can't just make up three games you have to make up four.

17 to go.

Now for reference, the twins made up three games on you

in the last 10 in 2009 but again there's no game 163.

Schedules and you want to matrix it out you play a couple of dog bleep teams they play a couple of dog bleep teams

you play the Orioles six times and the Royals you know they play the Orioles they

played a I think they play I could pull it up. They played the Indians the guardians for four look

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