Hour 3: Mets Outlook: Win Total, Rotation Hype & Playoff Ceiling

Evan & Tiki

Audacy

Sports

4.2 • 988 Ratings

🗓️ 26 March 2026

⏱️ 46 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Opening Day brings optimism—and uncertainty—for a dramatically reshaped Mets roster. With big offseason moves and a wave of new faces debuting together, the conversation centers on whether this team is built to contend or destined to disappoint. The stakes feel high, and the margin for error may be razor thin in a crowded National League race. The discussion dives into projected win totals, playoff expectations, and just how far strong pitching can carry this group. There’s also a deeper look at how small moments—like tiebreakers and early-season games—can define a season, along with bold predictions on how it all could end. Add in Opening Day energy, fan expectations, and a few unexpected tangents, and it’s a full snapshot of where the Mets stand right now.

Transcript

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0:00.0	Great starting pitching by a hired gun from a year ago in Max Fried.
0:03.8	The Mets are hoping for the same thing.
0:05.3	They hired Freddie Peralta on a much shorter deal.
0:07.4	They acquired him, obviously, during the offseason, really putting a capper on what was a unique offseason.
0:12.6	And Freddie Peralta, along with a bunch of other guys in the MET lineup, will be making their MET debut all at the same time.
0:18.5	We are watching a brand new team play baseball today
0:21.8	at 115 when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. And because they're so new and they're so
0:26.6	different, I've even said it's just weird. Like it feels as if this team could bust out and be bad
0:32.7	and this team could be awesome. I hate to use this comp because this would scare some MET fans. Kind of feels like the early 90s. And that did not work out. That was the worst team money could buy when they went out and they bought Bobby Boney and Eddie Murray and Tony Fernandez. And before that Vince Coleman, like Brett Saberhagen, like there was a lot of buying. And it doesn't necessarily work. In this case, they had a core of some pretty good players like Juan Soto and Francisco
0:54.9	Lindorne. We know about how aggressive they were after they lost Pete Alonzo and Ed Windeaz. And so
0:59.7	as I've been thinking about the season a lot and thinking about, okay, how do I think this plays out?
1:05.2	I've been caught in the middle. I've been caught in the middle because I don't know.
1:09.2	Like, it could be bad. It could be also. I'm very mixed. Right. And so I think they're going to end up in the middle. And that's why the number I settled on was 89 wins. Is that not good enough? Yeah, I mean, that's about the over-under as I was looking at it a couple days ago. And by the way, everybody's around there.
1:28.7	Yankees are around there.
1:29.7	Yeah.
1:29.8	That's around Phillies.
1:30.6	Everybody's, everybody's around there.
1:31.7	Except the Dodgers.
1:32.6	Except for the Dodgers who are like, I don't know, 110. Whatever. I don't know. I ain't sure. Yeah. It's up there. but you're right
1:40.0	but I think you're discounting
1:41.4	how good the pitching could be
1:42.8	it could be very good
	...

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