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The Mark Simone Show

Hour 2 Democrats and the Caravan.

The Mark Simone Show

iHeartRadio and Mark Simone

News

4.3694 Ratings

🗓️ 5 November 2018

⏱️ 35 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

6000 political races will be decided tomorrow. Where will Amazon locate their 2nd headquarters? President Trump is still out stumping for Republicans

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Mr. New York, Mark Simone, on W-O-R.

0:06.6

Well, we got a big hour coming up.

0:08.5

We've got lots to get to.

0:09.5

We'll go over the election.

0:10.2

We'll talk to the top pollster in the world.

0:13.0

And so when I say that, you know right away it's not Nate Silver, who's always wrong.

0:18.5

Always wrong.

0:19.3

He only ever got one election right, and that's because it was

0:22.1

2008. He got so close to the Obama campaign. They shared the internal polls with him, which are

0:28.6

the deadly accurate ones. That's the only time he's ever gotten anything right. As Lionel pointed

0:33.1

out, a week ago he was saying, 85% chance to the Democrats to take the House. Now he's saying it's even.

0:40.3

Wow. He's as bad. He's not quite as bad, but he's almost

0:43.4

as bad as those cheap amateur student college polls. You know,

0:47.2

there's a couple of colleges that do these polls. The sloppiest, worst.

0:51.5

The metrics look ridiculous to me.

0:57.8

22% Republican in the sample. Ridiculous.

1:03.8

These are colleges. These are little colleges who are too cheap to get a football team. That's usually how you promote the college. Big football team, big stadium. But these are colleges

1:07.9

can't afford that. So they get a couple of kids with some iPads and take some polls, a few student polls.

1:13.4

It's a little more sophisticated than that.

1:15.1

It's really not when you look at the metrics.

1:17.0

I looked at the metrics on this Kurnapienk one.

1:19.0

It was 1100 people contacted by phone.

...

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