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The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show

Hour 1 - Betting Markets Favor Trump

The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show

iHeartPodcasts

Politics, News, Society & Culture, News Commentary, Daily News

4.511.4K Ratings

🗓️ 26 September 2023

⏱️ 37 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Trump, for first time in his entire presidential history, favored in betting markets to win 2024 election. Ted Cruz predicts Dems will replace Biden with Michelle Obama. Kamala Harris word cloud. Will RFK run Libertarian? If he runs third party, will he take votes away from Biden or Trump? 83-year-old Judy in Kentucky calls to tell Clay how much she loves him.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to today's edition of the Clay Travis and Bucksectin Show podcast.

0:05.7

Welcome in Tuesday edition Clay Travis Bucksectin Show. Appreciate all of you hanging out with us.

0:13.0

We are here on debate eve as we prepare for the almost like the JV debate squad to take the

0:22.3

stage tomorrow at the Reagan presidential library. Donald Trump will not be involved in that debate

0:28.9

yet again. It appears that he is not going to be involved in any of the Republican primary debates

0:34.2

and it does not appear to have hurt him in a big way. We've got a lot of different topics to

0:39.0

dive into but sometimes you wake up and feels like the world's changing and I know for a lot of

0:47.9

you out there. You remember and you may know me from I did a sports gambling show for four years.

0:54.8

I love to look at the gambling markets. Where is money being spent? Where are people deciding that they

1:03.2

want to allocate their resources? What should we expect? What are probabilities? I encourage everybody

1:12.6

buck all the time think probabilistically it's hard to know exactly what's going to happen

1:18.4

and so if you think probabilistically think okay I think this is likely to happen this is not

1:22.6

likely to happen. Trump has been a real challenge for gambling markets ever since he came down

1:30.0

that escalator in 2015 and many of you will remember buck I know you will do because you were in

1:36.4

New York at the time when the New York Times said that Hillary what was the percentage chance that

1:40.8

Hillary was going to win buck 90 over 90 I think it was 97 97 percent chance that Hillary Clinton

1:47.1

was going to win the 2016 presidential election Trump wins. This is really intriguing and I think

1:54.2

there's a couple of things at play here that I want to unpack and I want to discuss and I want to

1:58.5

see whether you buy it buck. Big news here Donald Trump is now favored to win the 2024 presidential

2:08.4

election in gambling markets. A lot of you out there can say okay I explain to me what that means

2:15.9

let me contextualize it this way at no point in the entire 2016 presidential campaign was Trump

2:24.5

favored to beat Hillary Clinton some of you may well have one money betting on Trump he was a big

...

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