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Welcome to Hoops Tonight presented by Fandool here at the volume Happy Thursday.

We're going to be doing our power rankings with number 10 today and then number 9 tomorrow and then into the next week we will hit the final 8 over the course of the next couple weeks and then starting September 30th.

If you missed any of these videos and you can't get back over to YouTube to finish, you can get them in audio form wherever you get your podcasts under Hoops Tonight.

We are in a tier that I've called the Puncher's Chance tier. The tier of teams that I don't quite think have as much talent as the best teams in the league but they have these wild cards.

These players that have such big upsides that if they were to get hot for one reason or another they could carry their team to the ultimate goal.

They're long shots but they absolutely have a chance. Like the Lakers with LeBron James and AD, the Memphis Grizzlies with John Morant and at number 10 the Miami Heat with Jimmy Butler.

Now you got a factor in this off season when we're projecting forward not just looking at what the team was last year.

Memphis for instance, lost in the second round of the playoffs and six games to the eventual champion and had the second best record in basketball.

So your gut tells you automatic top 8 right but I'm looking at that and I'm going what was their biggest weakness?

Well it was shot creation and ball handling. Did they get any better on that front? No, I'd argue they got worse because they lost the Anthony Melton who's probably their best bench shot creator and all likelihood.

So when you look at that situation and you factor in the Jaron Jackson injury, I have to move them down on my list and so they fell back to number 10.

Also I'm factoring in ultimate playoff ceiling and I think their lack of shot creation makes it extremely difficult for them to eventually get the trophy after job.

They just don't have enough moving forward to the Miami Heat. It's very similar.

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