Homebuyer Cancellations Spike, New Price Forecast Shows Slow 2026

On The Market

BiggerPockets

Investing, Education, Business, News

4.8 • 859 Ratings

🗓️ 21 October 2025

⏱️ 38 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Feeling anxious about the housing market? You're not alone. Recent data show that U.S. cancellation rates for property deals have reached a record high this year, with buyers taking advantage of more moderate conditions to re-evaluate their options. With a projected 10-year increase in housing prices by about 23.5%, experts suggest we may finally be heading towards a more stable market environment, where traditional investment strategies like securing great assets at fair prices could truly shine. Curious about how real estate fraud could impact investors as the market evolves? We’ll also explore rising cases of fraud and the steps you can take to protect yourself. Dive into this episode as we unravel the complexities of short-term housing trends and long-term predictions, while maintaining a proactive approach to safeguarding your investments. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-366⁠ Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	More buyers are canceling their contracts right now, which is a little bit scary for sellers,
0:05.9	but presents a big opportunity for buyers. Moody's analytics just released their long-range
0:12.5	housing price forecast, and we've got frauds on the rise in real estate that you need to keep
0:18.0	an eye out for. This and more on today's episode of On the Market.
0:26.8	Hey everyone, welcome to On the Market. I'm Dave Meyer, joined today by Kathy Fecky, Henry
0:32.3	Washington, and James Danard back together after all being together in person at BPCon. It was so nice to see
0:39.3	all of you. Kathy, I recorded last week, but I gave you credit for starting a 2,000 person dance
0:45.2	party by yourself at the club the last night in Vegas. So thank you for doing that. It really
0:50.0	ended the conference on a bang. Oh my gosh. I had the best time ever and I just was sad the next day
0:57.5	when it was all over and I missed you guys. It was good. Well, it was a great time. So it was great to see
1:03.5	you all in person and hope to see more of the on the market community in person at the next
1:08.1	Bigger Pockets event, whether it's BPCon or one of these small local events
1:11.2	that we're talking more about doing in the near future. Today, we're going through headlines.
1:15.5	We're going to talk about buyers canceling deals. We'll talk about the long term. I'm talking
1:20.1	10-year forecasts for the housing market. A couple of instances of fraud that investors need to look
1:26.5	out for and more. Let's jump into it. James,
1:30.2	start us off. What do you got for us? All right. My news article, cancellation rates hits record
1:35.7	high in 2025. 56,000 U.S. purchase agreements were canceled, which are 15.1% of the homes that were under contract.
1:46.3	So people are bailing off of their deals. And the rate before in 2024 is at 14.3%. So we're really
1:55.8	only up 1%. But we are seeing as someone that's in the market doing a lot of deals right now, there is a ton of deals getting canceled.
2:04.2	And I think this is really important for all investors right now as they go to sell anything to take the time and make sure that your deal doesn't fall apart.
2:13.6	When you have a market that is very low transactional, right?
	...

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