Here’s What Your Retirement Spending Rate Should Be in 2026
Investing Insights
Morningstar, Ivanna Hampton, Sarah Hansen
4.2 • 537 Ratings
🗓️ 5 December 2025
⏱️ 23 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Please stay tuned for important disclosure information at the conclusion of this episode. |
| 0:10.8 | Welcome to Investing Insights. I'm your host, Margaret Giles, filling in for Ivana Hampton. |
| 0:16.2 | Most retirees want to spend as much as they can without having to worry about running out of money. |
| 0:21.4 | Morningstar's state of retirement income research analyzes retirement spending strategies to |
| 0:26.0 | determine the highest safe starting withdrawal rate for new retirees in 2026. Morningstar's |
| 0:31.7 | Director of Personal Finance and Retirement Planning, Christine Benz, breaks down the research and |
| 0:36.3 | shares some ideas about how you can boost |
| 0:38.1 | your retirement spending. Christine is also co-host of the excellent podcast, The Longview. |
| 0:44.0 | Well, Christine, thanks for being here. |
| 0:45.4 | Margaret, it's great to see you. |
| 0:46.8 | So each year, you and your colleagues produce this really comprehensive research around |
| 0:51.2 | retirement income. And as part of that research, you try to identify what a safe |
| 0:55.7 | starting withdrawal rate will be for the coming year, 2026. So what is that safe withdrawal percentage? |
| 1:01.3 | And how did you come to that conclusion? Right. It's meant to be a starting safe withdrawal for someone |
| 1:06.6 | just embarking on retirement. What percentage could they take if they're expecting a 90% |
| 1:13.0 | probability of success or they want a 90% probability of success and they're expecting a 30-year |
| 1:18.9 | time horizon. So if they're retiring at 65, they're thinking that they'll live until age 95 or so. |
| 1:24.8 | So when we ran the data for 2025, which incorporates our team's forward-looking outlook |
| 1:32.9 | for asset class returns and inflation, was actually kind of right in line with what it was |
| 1:38.6 | last year, 3.9%. It was 3.7% last year. That's a little bit of a head scratcher, but it, in part, is driven by a |
| 1:47.2 | methodology change in terms of how we're calculating those forward-looking asset class return |
| 1:54.0 | forecasts. So I would kind of say it's very comparable to what we came up with last year. |
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