4.8 • 1.6K Ratings
🗓️ 2 September 2025
⏱️ 48 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Never miss an episode of the Final Furlong podcast. |
| 0:03.8 | Subscribe now on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts. |
| 0:09.4 | And now, here's your host, Emmett Kennedy. |
| 0:11.8 | Welcome to a special edition of the show. |
| 0:13.3 | We are going to take an antipose look at the big group one this week. |
| 0:16.6 | One of the most confusing divisions around. |
| 0:18.6 | It's the Group 1 sprinters for the Sprint Cup at Haydock. |
| 0:21.5 | Adam is alongside me as we try and unearth some value for you. In a very confusing division, Adam. We've seen four Group 1 sprints run in the UK this year. They have so far been won by a 16 to 1 shot in American Affair who is graduating from a handicap company. a 9 to 2 second favorite who you were all over at a big price in Lazat who we're going to see |
| 0:40.0 | as a strong favorite for this race in the Queen Elizabeth. American Affair who is graduating from the handicapped company. A 9-2 second favourite who you were all over at a big price in Lazat, |
| 0:39.6 | who we're going to see is a strong favourite for this race. And the Queen Liz with the second Jubilee Stakes, a 66 to 1 shocker, an 11-to-1 winner of the Coolmore Nuthorpe Stakes have been sent off favourite for the race a year before. To say it's a confusing division would be a bit of an understatement. Yeah, it certainly would and you know we should probably throw in probably throw in J.M. Jungle, winning the group to Goodwood. There's another one that's sort of come up from this. This is the culmination of a very difficult season for the sprinters, where it's trying to work it all out. And we've got one, two, three more group one sprints to go. No, four, sorry, four, for include the Abbas. So I'm sure we're not done with the double figure price winners. It's just whether there's one on Saturday or not that we've got to try and unpick. And are we going to see more horses graduating from handicapped company to going winning elite group ones? We'll see. We're going to take you through the leading contenders and we'll try and pinpoint the value. Maybe we're just going to muddy the waters and confuse ourselves even more. The last five winners were all older horses, |
| 1:30.5 | but the classic generation struck six times between 2011 and 2019. Maybe those age stats will help |
| 1:36.1 | you a little bit. The first horse we're going to look at is a horse who did a massive favor for |
| 1:39.9 | Adam Mills with Lazash. He was all over him on the final forlund podcast. |
| 2:02.1 | He texts me the morning of the race when we were presenting live on TalkSport 2 saying the drift is making no sense. This horse just wins. And he did. He's the highest rated horse on both orpior's and time for him based on that success at Royal Ascot. That was his second group one win. He's unexposed as a sprint, he's only run two times |
| 2:00.8 | over six for longs. And while he comes into this race on the back of a defeat last time out, that was back over six and a half for a long. So maybe he can be excused that, having been conditioned for six. The thing that would concern me a little bit is he won that race a year ago. And the excuse from his connections was he did too much in front. I don't think that's true. I don't think he did do too much in front. |
| 2:19.4 | He just looked like he was a little bit flat to me. |
| 2:21.3 | And if you can win over six, you really should be able to win over six and a half. So where are you with Lazat as the two to one favorite? Well, I think firstly, I think two to one is fair because I think Lazzat is the best horse in this race. I don't think there's any debate on that that if they all ran to their absolute peak, Lazat would win. He's the best horse in the race. He's got the best form. His ascot form is a long way clear of anything else, in my opinion. And if he, if that Lazat turns up, he'll win this. So two to one, night and four, that's pretty fair. |
| 2:51.5 | We ran this three times. |
| 2:52.6 | I'd expect him to win one of them. |
| 2:54.1 | But I've had my win at Lazat. |
| 2:55.8 | I don't want to back him. And the reason I don't is I look at the Dover race and I can't work it out. One, how did he get beat by Sadia? if he'd been beaten by Woodshhorner, |
| 3:04.3 | I'd go, okay, yeah, fair enough, that's fine. |
... |
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