4 • 601 Ratings
🗓️ 28 July 2023
⏱️ 50 minutes
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0:32.0 | Hi, I'm Ravi Agrawal, Foreign Policy's editor-in-chief. This is FP Live. |
0:47.3 | Welcome to the show. There's been a spate of unflattering economic data out of China recently. |
0:53.3 | Growth in the most recent quarter ending in June amounted to just 0.8%. Dra dragged down by weak consumer spending. Trade flows have declined |
0:57.7 | the most since the start of the pandemic, and rising geopolitical tensions have led companies |
1:03.1 | around the world to accelerate moves to shift their manufacturing and supply chains away from |
1:08.9 | China. Now, quarterly data, of course, is just a snapshot. |
1:14.0 | Zoom out, and there's little doubt that China's rise over the last four decades is astonishing. |
1:20.5 | A slowdown was perhaps inevitable. |
1:23.3 | But is China's malaise right now more than just a bump along the road? |
1:33.3 | In recent years, a school of thought that China has peaked, or at the very least is Peking, has grown in popularity. Writing in foreign policy, Hal Brands and Michael Beckley |
1:39.3 | popularized the term peak China and raised concerns about how Beijing might react to stalled growth. |
1:46.4 | But there are also powerful counterarguments popularized by the likes of Kiu Jin, |
1:52.4 | who argues in the New London playbook that while China might be slowing, |
1:57.1 | it still has a lot of room to grow, and that theories of China's decline are rooted in fundamental |
2:03.1 | misconceptions of the country's economy. Well, which theory is correct? This is a really |
2:10.3 | important debate, because we can only know how to create policy regarding China if we know |
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