Haley's path & Biden's only move - with Mike Murphy

Call Me Back - with Dan Senor

Ark Media

Society, October 7, Hamas, War, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Israel, News Commentary, News, Politics, Elections, Palestine, Dan Senor, Government

4.8 • 2.3K Ratings

🗓️ 3 December 2023

⏱️ 43 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

There are two storylines we have been following closely that are not necessarily shaped by the minute-to-minute developments in Israel, but their outcomes could have an outsized impact on U.S. policy on Israel, Gaza, and the broader Middle East. The first is the Republican contest for president. The next debate is this coming week – December 6. In the last GOP presidential debate, the issue that attracted the most airtime was the October 7 war and America’s response. The second story is the growing problem President Biden is experiencing in his political base registering high disapproval of his support for Israel. In the next episode, we'll resume with our weekly check-in with Haviv Rettig Gur from Israel, but today we check in with Mike Murphy on U.S. presidential politics. Mike has worked on 26 gubernatorial and US Senate races across the country, including 12 wins in Blue States. He was a top strategist for John McCain, Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush, and Arnold Scwarzenegger. He’s a political analyst for NBC and MSNBC. He’s co-host of the "Hacks on Tap" podcast and he has a newsletter on substack. Mike is also co-director of the University of Southern California’s Center for the Political Future. To subscribe to Hacks on Tap: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/hacks-on-tap/id1467297559 To subscribe to Murphy's substack newsletter: https://substack.com/@mikemurphy1

Transcript

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0:00.0	I think Biden should condemn it. I think tone is tricky. I don't think it's a
0:04.1	panacea for his political problems, but he's already in the business of enough
0:08.1	with the Palestinian radicalization. So yeah, he can slap back at campuses a little and I think it's the only movie he's got because he's never going to appease him
0:17.5	So he might as well stand up against it There are two storylines I've been following closely that are not necessarily shaped by the minute-to-minute
0:36.4	developments in Israel, although either one of them could have a big impact on US policy towards Israel.
0:44.0	The first is the Republican Contest for President of the United States.
0:48.0	The next Republican presidential debate is this coming week on December 6th.
0:53.4	If you recall the last GOP presidential debate,
0:56.7	the issue that got the most airtime was October 7th
1:00.4	in America's response to the Hamas massacre. The second storyline is the growing
1:07.4	problem President Biden is experiencing with elements in his base coalition on the hard left that
1:13.7	shall we say disapprove of his strong support for Israel. Now I do not believe
1:20.9	it's as much of a problem as some observers believe in fact I think it's an opportunity for him to take on some of the craziness on the left in its response to his policy towards Israel that would actually be a strength for him
1:34.4	in the general election. But we will get into all of that because I wanted to take a short break
1:39.0	from the minute to minute on Israel and check in with my old pal Mike Murphy who we haven't had in a while
1:45.9	to discuss what's likely to happen in US politics both the Republican primary
1:50.8	process as well as the Democrats plan to get Biden reelected and
1:56.0	the impact all of this could have in the Middle East because as the old saying
1:59.7	goes when America sneezes the world catches a cold.
2:04.0	Mike as many of you know is a long-time Republican political
2:09.2	strategist although not so much Republican anymore.
2:12.0	He's worked on 26 gubernatorial in US Senate races
	...

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