Hello and welcome to Coffee House Shots, The Spectator's Daily Politics Podcast.

I'm Patrick Gibbons, and today I'm joined by the Spectator's deputy political editor, James Hill,

and Sienna Rogers, Deputy Editor of Parliament's Magazine, The House.

James, with the events over the past week in the Middle East,

it's hard to believe that it was only a week ago that Labour was reeling from its by-election

defeat in Gorton and Denton. And the fallout is something that you touch on in your political

column this week, explaining what the result could mean for the Greens in London. Can you explain

your assessment for listeners?

Yeah, so the group is pretty bullish about the upcoming London elections in particular.

This is sort of inner crescent in the sort of inner east of the capital,

which they're very excited about, places like Lewisham, Hackney, Harringy,

where there's a mix of younger Muslims, urban professionals, those who are struggling with the affordability agenda,

and really everyone's benefiting from a simple kick-labor phenomenon, which is that Labour's vote,

which has risen very high, particularly post-2016, when Steve Kahn went back the city after Boris Johnson,

has had 10 years of very good successes, and they currently hold 62% all thereabouts of the Capitol's Council wards. It's going to come down.

And so the Greens stand to be one of the main beneficiaries of that, and hence why I think you're getting a kind of Mundani-style strategy,

both in terms of the comms, but also in terms of the policy, lots focus on affordability.

What's quite striking, Patrick, is the number of green leaflets that also mentioned as a

second or third priority issues around Gaza and Palestine. That's probably appealing to both a mix

of potential Muslim voters, but also urban graduates who are very concerned about this issue.

It's one of the issues that comes up in a sort of dividing line in terms of generations. And so they're feeling very confident about this. And obviously we had Zach Polanski's first electoral test last week in Gotham and Denton. It's with the second one. I think obviously, you know, we've got elections across the country coming up. But in terms of where it's going to be fruitful, it's obviously going to be London. And I think that this is

going to obviously lead to two, I think, issues, one of which is what does the Labour do about its

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