Green Bay Packers (75) - Team Preview
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 31 August 2021
⏱️ 12 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Previewing and ranking the Green Bay Packers tends to be a simple task. As long as they have Aaron Rodgers, this is a top ten team. The question each season is where they fit within those teams. After winning 13 games for the second consecutive seasons, it would be easy to stick them near the top, but there is reason to believe this team is not with the elites heading into 2021. Rodgers had a career year in 2020 (48 TD's, 71% completion rate, 121.5 passer rating) and the market never caught up to the Packers who went 11-7 ATS and covered the spread by an average of 3.4 points. There was a ton of under money expecting regression - but it never came. This season, much of that same sentiment returns. The quoted "F-You" tour Rodgers led throughout the league in 2020 is done, or at least exhausted into another season, and despite having the best QB, RB and WR in the league, things get considerably tougher in 2021. The Packers move from the 21st most difficult schedule of opposing defences in 2020 to the 3rd most difficult in 2021. For pass effeciency defense specifically, no team sees a more difficult increase this season vs last than the Packers. Key center Corey Linsley departed and David Bakhtiari's return is still in question after a season ending injury in 2020. The line up front looks different and much weaker than last season or prior. That is trouble looking at pass rushes of New Orleans, Washington, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Baltimore, Minnesota x2 and Chicago x2 on the schedule. Even if Rodgers duplicates his career year, it is incredibly difficult to find 12 or 13 wins against these opponents.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, everyone, the simple handicap for Monday, August 31st. Thank you for making me a part of your morning. |
| 0:08.6 | Moving into the sixth highest rated team heading into the 2021 NFL season with the Green Bay Packers this morning coming in at a rating of 75. |
| 0:18.6 | Last day today before we get into the top five teams, counting them down to the end of the |
| 0:22.7 | week on Friday, we'll have everything sorted out and for you ready to go into the new season, |
| 0:28.5 | regular podcast episodes for the show. |
| 0:30.9 | As You Know and Love It will begin Monday morning. |
| 0:34.7 | So keep that in mind. |
| 0:36.2 | No Saturday Sunday show this weekend. And then we're back into the usual format on Monday morning. So keep that in mind. No Saturday Sunday show this weekend and then we're back |
| 0:38.5 | into the usual format on Monday morning. Before I get into the podcast this morning and previewed |
| 0:43.7 | the Packers, I just wanted to mention yesterday on Twitter. I sent out a little video and a link |
| 0:48.9 | for those of you who would consider taking 30 seconds out of your day and leaving a review for the podcast. |
| 0:55.8 | I never ever ask for these. |
| 0:58.1 | And for any other podcast you listen to, I hope that you appreciate the brevity that this |
| 1:02.6 | podcast brings and the lack of asking that I tend to do for things like that. |
| 1:07.7 | However, in a bit of a chart battle inside of Canada for football podcasts, |
| 1:12.9 | we got as high as ninth in all of football ahead of ESPN, ahead of pro football focus. |
| 1:18.7 | This is sort of the little show that could and sort of battling the so-called algorithms |
| 1:24.3 | that tend to sort of dictate those charts that nobody really understands. And you might like the podcast, but I think everyone can agree, Adam Chernoff, probably not more valuable than Adam Schaefter. It'd be nice one day, but I'm not sure I'm there yet. So it was nice to see it go that high, but has come back a little bit, and something that we've sort of learned is that reviews do actually help quite a bit. |
| 1:45.3 | So it's not going to be something I ask for every day. |
| 1:47.4 | But if you do have 30 seconds this morning and you've got any sort of value from these previews up to this point |
| 1:53.1 | and you can spare the time. |
| 1:54.7 | If you wouldn't mind leaving the review, I'm not even going to do the thing where you beg for the five stars or text. |
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