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Hollinger & Duncan NBA Show - NBA Basketball Podcast

Grading the Extensions; Season Predictions

Hollinger & Duncan NBA Show - NBA Basketball Podcast

John Hollinger and Nate Duncan

Basketball, Sports

4.6866 Ratings

🗓️ 22 October 2025

⏱️ 54 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Hollinger & Duncan sift the rookie-scale extension rush—what looks smart vs. risky—and then dive into 2025’s biggest questions: true title equity, matchup landmines, awards races, hot-seat candidates, and which front offices set themselves up best. 0:30 — The extension wave under a rising cap: what looks smart vs. risky 1:00 — Keegan Murray pricing: two-way wing scarcity vs. limited upside 5:54 — Christian Braun and Denver’s apron math: role value vs. replaceability 12:00 — Dyson Daniels: age/size/defense bet and why a flat $25M structure matters 13:45 — Shaedon Sharpe: lock in upside now or gamble on RFA? 16:19 — Toumani Camara: converting a team option now vs. preserving flexibility later 23:18 — Aaron Nesmith: playoff proof-of-concept and Indy’s shorter 2/40 approach 24:39 — Why some wings/guards didn’t extend: the “wait-and-see” tier (Mathurin, Ivey, Eason) 27:26 — Jalen Duren: cap-hold strategy, center comps, and Detroit’s options 28:34 — Next summer’s center market: Kessler/Williams and the post-incentive era 29:12 — Framing the 2025 race: contenders, matchups, ceilings (no picks) 29:28 — East storylines: regular-season juggernauts vs. playoff-built teams; health variables 33:28 — West storylines: OKC’s rise, the Warriors’ matchup swing, and who actually has a ceiling 35:03 — The true title-equity bucket—and who’s one in-season move away 39:18 — MVP shape: the eligibility gauntlet, top tier, and the U.S. vs. international tilt 43:44 — Hot-seat watch: contexts around Doug Christie, Willie Green, Darko Rajaković, others 46:17 — Sixth Man: role volatility, eligibility traps, and what voters really reward 47:17 — Most Improved: high-ceiling leaps vs. low-baseline pop candidates 51:17 — Defensive Player of the Year: the unicorn case vs. voter fragmentation 51:42 — Executive of the Year narratives: asset plays, cap gymnastics, timing 53:29 — Why 2024–25 on-court styles will be especially diverse and fun

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome on to John Hollinger.

0:22.7

It's still, the season hasn't really started, right? It's not too late to do predictions. I don't think so. I mean, 26 teams have not yet played a game. Yeah. Also, there was little that took place last night that would have affected any of my predictions anyway, I would say. So, yeah, we got a lot to get through here. So we can get rolling. First, we got to make some faces, though. All right.

0:23.1

All right.

0:21.1

We can, we can do, yeah, we got a lot to get through here. So we can, we can get rolling. First,

0:26.8

we got to make some faces, though. All right. We can, we can do a, uh, a, at least a little presage here. Christian Brown five years, 125 million. Kegan Murray, five years 140.

0:33.2

Nicola Yoavich, four years 62. Yeah, for, for those of you on audio you on audio, I basically my first face could be sunned up as,

0:40.6

and my second two is, yeah, John was a little bit less complimentary of the Kegan Murray one.

0:46.1

So, yeah, let's start on Kegan Murray because you've been gone for a couple of weeks.

0:50.6

We got lots of catch up on here.

0:52.5

Zachary King's five years, 140 for Keegan Murray.

0:55.9

He gets the most of anyone in this class

0:58.3

who did not get a maximum extension.

1:00.7

Right.

1:01.3

Is,

1:01.4

I mean,

1:01.9

is he really like any better than these other guys that we're talking about?

1:06.1

Yes.

1:06.8

You really think so?

1:07.8

Yeah,

1:08.0

absolutely.

1:08.8

Because he plays a premium position, right?

1:11.7

Like he, and I think also he's been set up to be kind of lost in Sacramento,

...

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