Goldman Sachs Calls Amazon a Top Pick, Roku Gets Downgraded to Sell & What’s Next for Activision Blizzard?
TechCheck
CNBC
4.5 • 66 Ratings
🗓️ 22 November 2021
⏱️ 43 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | I'm Carl Kintanilla. You're listening to CNBC's Tech Check. Our show is live weekdays at 11 a.m. Eastern. Listen in. |
| 0:06.9 | Good Monday morning. Welcome to Tech Check. I'm Carl Kintania with John Ford. Dirdre is off today. |
| 0:11.8 | Fed Chair Powell gets tapped for a second term. What that means for big tech and growth names as they lead the NASDAQ higher this morning. |
| 0:18.6 | Then we're going to break down how rates relate to a few high-flying pandemic stocks |
| 0:23.1 | that have come down to Earth, just a few hours now from Zoom's results tonight. |
| 0:27.6 | And then finally a twist in the case against Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes. |
| 0:31.8 | She takes the stand today, and we are live at the courthouse, John. |
| 0:35.2 | Yeah, so let's get started with the Fed and the connection between |
| 0:38.4 | interest rates, inflation, and the valuation of tech stocks right now. Who better than Mike Santoli? |
| 0:43.3 | To look at that for us, hey, Mike? Hey, John, you know this standard idea that higher yields, especially |
| 0:49.9 | higher real yields, are kind of punishing to tech stocks? It's really being tested right now, |
| 0:53.9 | because right now nothing as a group is holding back tech. In fact, take a look over the last two years |
| 0:58.7 | at the S&P tech sector against the 10-year treasury yield. So the conventional wisdom is somewhat |
| 1:05.7 | that these are moving in opposite directions, that they're kind of inversely correlated. Well, that's |
| 1:09.7 | not really true. In fact, if you talk about the lows right here towards zero in the yield, now we're kind of inversely correlated. Well, that's not really true. |
| 1:15.2 | In fact, if you talk about the lows right here towards zero in the yield, now we're up to 1.6, |
| 1:21.0 | obviously, it's coincided with very strong results intact. Now, I do get that sometimes you have better results in the secular growth stocks when you do have yields that are tame or inflation-adjusted yields that are negative. But it seems to me |
| 1:29.7 | that it hasn't yet really manifest itself in any ongoing way. There is an academic argument that these |
| 1:35.0 | long-term cash flows represented by big tech stocks, somehow get discounted back at a higher rate if, in fact, |
| 1:41.5 | you have yields that are elevated. I think we're not in a zone right now, |
| 1:45.6 | though, where that reckoning will take place because we still are talking about 1.6% on the 10-year, |
| 1:50.7 | half a percent on the two years. So obviously the Fed can kill bull markets if it goes too far. |
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