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Wall Street Breakfast

Goldilocks GDP growth

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

News, Business, Business News, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 25 January 2024

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

GDP rose at 3.3% pace in Q4 while core inflation came in at target 2%. (0:15) Humana slashes profit guidance on Medicare costs. (3:11) Tesla's 'train wreck' earnings call. (4:00)

Show Notes
Incyte is the most overweight stock by hedge funds
Walmart is the least shorted stock by hedge funds
NextEra Energy strikes bullish tone for next three years after posting Q4 beat

Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb
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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis.

0:11.0

Good afternoon, today is Thursday January 25th, I'm your host Kim Con. Our top story so far.

0:17.0

US GDP growth came in much stronger than expected to wrap up 2023,

0:22.0

while the accompanying inflation data eased worries that the

0:24.8

Fed Hawks would leave their nests.

0:27.4

The initial estimate for Q4 GDP showed it rose at an annual rate of 3.3%, well ahead of the 2% consensus and easing from its exceptionally

0:36.2

strong pace of 4.9% in Q3.

0:40.0

The quarter's growth reflected increases in consumer spending, exports, state and

0:44.8

local government spending, non-residential fixed investment, federal government spending, private

0:49.6

inventory investment, and residential investment. In other words consumers, businesses, and the

0:54.4

government kept spending. The only offset was increased imports which subtracts

0:59.2

from the figure. Dario Perkins, economist at Global Data T.S. Lombard, says it's a rough landscape for the

1:05.9

but the economy is much weaker than it seems crowd because there isn't much to dislike in this

1:10.4

GDP release.

1:11.4

Congrats America, you have an economy we can only dream about in Europe.

1:16.0

The core PC-PCE price index, which is the Fed's preferred measurement inflation,

1:20.0

came in right at the FEMC target of 2%, and that was in line with expectations.

1:25.0

That's down from 2.3% in Q3.

1:28.0

The 2% pace sets the stage for an easing in the Fed's too restrictive policy rate by mid-year, said Joseph

1:34.2

Brasilis, chief economist at RMS. Following the Goldilocks mix of growth and

1:39.1

inflation, the market reacted accordingly. Stocks moved higher, with the major averages up around half a percent.

1:45.2

Treasury yields are moving back slightly.

...

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