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Top Traders Unplugged

GM42: What's Coming for Oil, Gas, Gold & Metals ft. Adam Rozencwajg

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8670 Ratings

🗓️ 17 May 2023

⏱️ 79 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

If you're curious about the state of natural resources in today's market, this episode is for you. Our guest Adam Rozencwajg shares his insights on a wide range of topics when it comes to the global commodity markets. Discover why oil is struggling to surpass $80 despite the OIL Put, OPEC's surprise production cuts, and China's reopening. We also explore why US and European Nat Gas prices have yet to converge, and the outlook for Gold as it sits close to all-time highs. Finally, we discuss the future of base metals and what we can expect in the coming months. Don't miss out on this engaging episode!

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Episode TimeStamps:

02:37 - What has happened since our previous conversation?

06:03 - Making sense of the oil market

10:44 - Signs of a put on the oil market

16:38 - The situation with natural gas

25:13 - Has the gas situation been improved?

32:42 - Nuclear energy - is it a viable solution?

46:51 - The outlook for gold

52:51 - The mechanisms of the capital cycles

01:00:45 - The state of metals

01:04:18 - A metal crisis?

01:06:24 - Centralised commodities and rare earths

01:09:53 - Investing in rare earths

01:12:52 - Considerations for owning gold

01:16:58...

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

I think these problems have shifted gears a little bit from a really acute pinch point,

0:11.5

which is, oh, my goodness, are we going to have enough gas to make it through the winter,

0:15.6

to now the larger structural problems?

0:19.0

So we're extremely bullish because the other thing that's happened, of course,

0:23.0

is that the stocks have all sold off dramatically and gas prices have sold off dramatically.

0:27.9

So, you know, if gas prices had stayed high and were looking through all this,

0:31.0

you might want to trim them a little bit and say to yourself, well, you know, more things

0:34.6

have to happen over the next couple of years, but they've now sold off so dramatically that they're pricing in like two and three

0:40.4

dollar gas in many cases.

0:42.4

Some cases, you know, they're even cheap on $3 gas strips.

0:46.9

And so I think you're being amply, amply rewarded for those trends that are going to come out.

0:52.1

But we've removed the immediacy.

0:55.3

That much is true.

1:03.1

Imagine spending an hour with the world's greatest traders. Imagine learning from their experiences, their successes, and their failures. Imagine no more. Welcome to Top Traders Unplugged,

1:10.5

the place where you can learn from the best hedge fund managers in the world,

1:14.6

so you can take your manager, due diligence, or investment career to the next level.

1:18.6

Before we begin today's conversation, remember to keep two things in mind.

1:22.6

All the discussion we'll have about investment performance is about the past,

1:26.6

and past performance does not guarantee or even infer have about investment performance is about the past, and past performance

1:27.7

does not guarantee or even infer anything about future performance. Also understand that there's

1:32.9

a significant risk of financial loss with all investment strategies, and you need to request

1:37.4

and understand the specific risks from the investment manager about their product before

...

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